- Bitcoin’s price path may be influenced by AI’s macroeconomic impact on labor and monetary policy, NYDIG research suggests.
- If AI disrupts jobs or creates volatility, it could trigger fiscal and monetary easing, providing liquidity that favors Bitcoin.
- However, AI-driven growth that lifts real yields and tightens policy could create headwinds for the cryptocurrency.
- The transition to AI is already impacting corporate staffing, with Block citing it as a reason for significant workforce reductions.
In a Friday research note, NYDIG Global Head of Research Greg Cipolaro proposed that Bitcoin could benefit from Artificial Intelligence if the technology disrupts labor markets or creates economic volatility. Cipolaro said AI is a “general-purpose technology” like electricity, with macroeconomic effects that will affect BTC.
“If AI-driven growth occurs alongside expanding liquidity and contained real rates, that backdrop can be supportive for Bitcoin,” Cipolaro noted. “But if stronger growth lifts real yields, tightens policy, and reduces the need for monetary accommodation, Bitcoin may face headwinds.”
Conversely, he argued that labor disruption or volatility prompting fiscal expansion and easier policy would create a supportive liquidity impulse. The economic impact of AI is already materializing, as companies cite its adoption in restructuring efforts.
For instance, Block CEO Jack Dorsey stated on Friday the payments firm would cut roughly 40% of its staff due to AI. He predicted many more companies will soon follow a similar path.
This technological transition may be volatile and uneven. Goldman Sachs research claimed in August that widespread AI adoption could displace up to 7% of the U.S. workforce, but also create new jobs.
Cipolaro acknowledged the shift will pose challenges, requiring new skills and investment. However, he expects AI to follow the historical pattern of integration seen with past technologies. “Firms that integrate it effectively will widen margins and productivity gaps,” he added.
Meanwhile, AI adoption is expanding within crypto, with Coinbase announcing a tool in October that grants AI agents access to on-chain financial tools. Executives note such integration can be safe but also introduces new risks.
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