- A financial commentator recommends buying the SpaceX IPO after hype fades and insider lockups expire, following patterns seen with Coinbase and Robinhood
- For OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs, the strategy involves buying the pop, selling within the first three days, then waiting roughly a year for lockups to expire before re-entering
- The commentator warns that exclusive IPOs reserved for institutional investors signal a market bubble that may be approaching its peak
A financial commentator who previously called the SpaceX IPO pattern on YouTube has outlined distinct strategies for investing in SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic when they go public. The analysis draws on historical IPO patterns from Coinbase and Robinhood to inform the recommended approaches.
For SpaceX, the author advises buying the IPO once the hype has faded and insider lockups have expired. “My position was, and is, to buy the IPO once everyone hates it and has forgotten the hype,” the commentator writes.
Meanwhile, the strategy for OpenAI and Anthropic differs significantly. The author recommends buying the IPO, selling the stock between Day 1 and Day 3, then waiting roughly a year for lockups to expire before considering re-entry.
Consequently, the commentator warns that exclusive IPOs reserved for institutions signal a market top. “When amazingly large and spicy IPOs hit the market and you are not invited in as a retail investor, know that the market-bubble jig is about to be up,” the author states.
Despite believing the market is in a bubble that could run for several years, the author advises against staying on the sidelines. The recommended approach is to ride the wave with a disciplined exit strategy.
The analysis suggests OpenAI and Anthropic could become trillion-dollar companies, though they face more competitive pressure than SpaceX. SpaceX, the author notes, has the entire solar system as its addressable market and a formidable leader in Elon Musk.
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