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Grayscale: Bitcoin May Break Cycle, Set New Highs in 2026

Bitcoin Holds Steady at $86,000 After $1B Liquidations as Grayscale Predicts New Highs in 2026

  • Grayscale Research suggests Bitcoin could surpass its historical four-year cycle and reach new highs in 2026.
  • The total crypto market cap climbed back above $3 trillion after recent losses.
  • Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw combined inflows of over $140 million.
  • Ethereum and XRP led losses among top tokens, while Binance Coin recorded gains.

Bitcoin remained stable around $86,000 in early Tuesday trading, recovering after a sharp market downturn on Monday that led to nearly $1 billion in cryptocurrency liquidations. This stability followed market-wide shifts, as traders and investors paused after significant price swings.

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According to Grayscale Research, Bitcoin might not follow its previous four-year price correction cycle, as stated in a recent report. Analysts stated, “Although the outlook is uncertain, we believe the four-year cycle thesis will prove to be incorrect, and that Bitcoin’s price will potentially make new highs next year.” The report points to a possible break from historical patterns and suggests potential record highs in 2026.

Overall, the cryptocurrency market quickly recovered, with total valuation rising above $3 trillion after dipping below that level on Monday. Data from CoinGlass showed $476 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, including $357 million from investors holding long positions and $119 million from those holding short positions.

Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continued to attract strong demand. Bitcoin ETFs reported net inflows of $71 million on Monday, while Ethereum ETFs saw approximately $76 million in inflows, according to SoSoValue. These inflows provided additional support for prices and investor sentiment.

Among major tokens, Ethereum and XRP led the declines. Ethereum fell 1.6% in the past day, trading near $2,700. Sentiment among retail investors on Stocktwits improved slightly, moving from ‘extremely bearish’ to ‘bearish.’ XRP dropped 1.7% to approximately $2.01, while Dogecoin and Solana recorded smaller losses.

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In contrast, Binance Coin (BNB) posted a 1.4% gain, leading among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Cardano also edged higher, rising by 0.3% in the last 24 hours. Retail sentiment for BNB shifted to ‘bullish’ from ‘extremely bullish’ during this period.

The cryptocurrency market continues to demonstrate volatility, with investors reacting to both sharp declines and swift rebounds in asset values.

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