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Gold Pullback May Spark Bitcoin Rally to $165K by Year-End

Gold's Decline May Signal Imminent Bitcoin Rebound, Analysts Predict Strong Price Targets for Both Assets

  • Gold’s recent decline may signal a rebound for Bitcoin, according to several analysts.
  • Bitcoin has shown signs of reaching a low point after gold’s all-time high near $4,380 per ounce.
  • The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has dropped to levels previously linked to strong Bitcoin rallies.
  • Gold is forecasted by some to potentially reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026 due to economic factors.
  • Bitcoin Price targets range between $150,000 and $165,000 by the end of 2025, based on technical signals.

Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery amid a pullback in gold prices after the precious metal reached a record high near $4,380 per ounce last Friday. Gold has since declined about 2.9%, while Bitcoin gained nearly 4%, moving up from a four-month low around $103,535.

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Gold’s year-to-date increase stands at over 62%, but its relative strength index (RSI)—a measure indicating whether an asset is overbought or oversold—has remained above 70 for the past month. This condition often suggests a risk of profit-taking. In contrast, Bitcoin’s RSI is at its lowest since April, which typically signals a potential bottom before a price rise.

The ratio of Bitcoin’s price to gold has fallen to levels seen in past market bottoms from 2015, 2018, 2020, and 2022. Historically, these points have been followed by Bitcoin rallies ranging from 100% to 600%. As of mid-October, this ratio dipped below –2.5, hinting that Bitcoin may be undervalued compared to gold after its recent surge.

Comparisons with the 2020 market behavior suggest gold’s current decline might align with Bitcoin’s bullish phase, similar to the pattern observed when gold peaked and Bitcoin bottomed locally. This seasonality raises the question of whether gold’s pullback will again signal Bitcoin’s upward momentum.

Despite gold’s recent drop, some projections remain strongly bullish. Gold is expected to climb as high as $5,000 per ounce by 2026, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and a weaker U.S. dollar. This anticipated rise is likely to be fueled by long-term investors seeking portfolio stability versus short-term trading.

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Bitcoin also maintains a positive outlook. Analysts predict targets ranging from $150,000 to $165,000 by the end of 2025, noting that Bitcoin remains undervalued against gold. Breaking the $120,000 price level could potentially accelerate Bitcoin’s rise toward these figures.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making decisions. For more details, see the source here and here.

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