- 2025 has seen sharp swings in the value of the US dollar, prompting renewed talk of de-dollarization.
- The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts have reduced investor demand for the dollar, according to a Investopedia report.
- The current U.S. administration’s preference for a lower dollar has also weighed on the currency’s position.
- Wells Fargo chief economist Tom Porcelli says the dollar could strengthen in the latter half of next year as the Fed ends easing and de-dollarization talk fades.
- Marcello Estevão of the Institute of International Finance says the structural support for dollar dominance remains strong.
The US dollar has experienced wide swings through 2025 as market participants reacted to policy decisions and statements about currency preferences. Fed interest-rate cuts and signals from the U.S. administration favoring a lower dollar have reduced investor interest and triggered renewed discussion of de-dollarization. Experts quoted in recent notes say those claims may be overstated given structural strengths of the dollar system.
A Investopedia report details how the Fed’s easing stance contributed to the dollar’s volatility and made it less attractive to investors. Policy choices that lean toward a weaker dollar also played a notable role in the currency’s recent moves.
Wells Fargo chief economist Tom Porcelli wrote that the dollar’s outlook could improve if monetary policy shifts. “We expect the greenback to broadly strengthen in the back half of next year as the Fed ends its easing cycle and de-dollarization talk diminishes,” he wrote.
Marcello Estevão, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, emphasized the dollar’s enduring strengths in a research note. “The structural foundation of dollar dominance remains intact, supported by deep and liquid markets, the global reach of U.S. financial institutions, and an unmatched supply of safe assets,” he wrote.
Taken together, the commentary suggests near-term volatility but stops short of declaring a clear shift away from dollar dominance. Analysts point to market liquidity, U.S. financial reach, and available safe assets as reasons the dollar still holds central global status.
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