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Crypto Predictors Turn Bearish as Bitcoin, Solana Odds Slip

Crypto Market Turns Bearish as Solana and Bitcoin Odds Fall, Ethereum Edges Gold Toward $5,000

  • Crypto market sentiment turned more bearish on Thursday as digital asset prices continued to fall.
  • Predictors on Myriad now give only a 34% chance for Solana to reach a new all-time high by year end.
  • The odds for Bitcoin reaching $120,000 next dropped as traders favored a possible dip to $100,000.
  • Ethereum is seen as more likely than Gold to reach the $5,000 mark first, despite gold’s recent gains.
  • Market uncertainty, including delayed ETF approvals and ongoing government shutdown, affect predictions for major crypto assets.

Crypto market participants showed a shift toward caution on Thursday, with predictors on the Myriad platform betting against near-term rallies for top digital assets. The mood changed as major cryptocurrencies declined further, with users focusing on the future prices of Bitcoin, Solana, Ethereum, and gold.

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Data from Myriad indicated that odds for Solana to reach a new all-time high by December 30 fell to 34%. Solana’s price dropped by more than 13% over the past week, trading at $190.50 on Thursday. Predictions for Bitcoin also shifted, with users now favoring a drop to $100,000 over a rise to $120,000. The platform reported a sharp reversal from previous bullish sentiment, reflecting the increased market uncertainty.

According to Myriad, the decision point between a $120,000 rally or a slide to $100,000 for Bitcoin follows the largest liquidation event yet, erasing $19 billion in leveraged positions. “Predictors are largely split and uncertain about Bitcoin’s immediate future,” the report said. The asset would require a 10.5% gain to reach $120,000 or an 8% decline to hit $100,000.

On Solana, the odds of a new all-time high have dropped over 16% in the last week, with the asset currently about 35% below its peak from January. Myriad reports that the delay in approving Solana exchange-traded funds is likely caused by the government shutdown, impacting market sentiment.

In the race to $5,000 between gold and Ethereum, Myriad users slightly favor Ethereum, assigning it 53% odds despite gold trading closer to the $5,000 target at $4,307. “The ‘debasement trade’ may have another decade ahead of it,” analysts told Decrypt, referencing strategies that use hard assets to hedge against currency devaluation.

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The broader context includes ongoing trade war concerns and the effects of a government shutdown, which continue to weigh on digital asset markets and investor sentiment.

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