Bitcoin Could Surge to $125,000 if Trump Wins 2024 Election, Standard Chartered Predicts

Political developments could significantly influence Bitcoin's future value.

  • Geoff Kendrick of Standard Chartered Bank predicts Bitcoin could hit $125,000 by the end of 2024.
  • This forecast hinges on Donald Trump winning the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
  • Kamala Harris presidency might see Bitcoin reaching $75,000.
  • Bernstein analysts project different figures, with Bitcoin possibly reaching $80,000 to $90,000 under Trump.
  • Under Harris, Bernstein forecasts a potential drop to $30,000 to $40,000.

Geoff Kendrick, the Head of Crypto Research at Standard Chartered Bank, has made a bold prediction: Bitcoin could reach $125,000 by the end of 2024 if Donald Trump wins the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

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This forecast is based on the assumption that a Trump administration would adopt more favorable cryptocurrency regulations.

Historically, Trump has had a critical stance on cryptocurrencies. However, Kendrick notes a significant shift.

During Trump’s appearance at the Bitcoin 2024 conference, he announced plans to eliminate existing federal crypto regulations and maintain a national stockpile of federally-owned Bitcoin.

This change marks a stark contrast to his earlier views, suggesting a more crypto-friendly approach if he returns to office.

Kendrick’s projections are grounded in the broader implications of the election on the cryptocurrency market. He argues that political developments will play a crucial role in shaping the future of Bitcoin, influencing its regulation and market dynamics.

Harris Administration’s Potential Impact

Illustration of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris face to face with Bitcoin logo on the background
Illustration of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris face to face with Bitcoin logo on the background

On the other side of the political spectrum, Kendrick posits that a Kamala Harris presidency would also drive Bitcoin to new heights but at a more conservative estimate of $75,000.

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This figure is based on the assumption that Harris would maintain a less favorable stance towards cryptocurrencies compared to Trump.

Regulatory uncertainties and a more stringent approach to crypto could limit the asset’s growth potential.

Kendrick’s analysis underscores that while both political outcomes would lead to significant gains, the magnitude would vary.

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His insights reflect a broader trend of political developments increasingly impacting financial markets, particularly in the evolving landscape of digital assets.

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Bernstein’s Contrasting Predictions

Adding another layer of analysis, analysts at Bernstein have offered their predictions regarding Bitcoin’s price in relation to the 2024 election.

They suggest that a Trump victory could see Bitcoin surge to between $80,000 and $90,000 by the end of the year.

However, if Kamala Harris wins, they predict a drastic decline, with Bitcoin potentially dropping to between $30,000 and $40,000.

These projections highlight the varying degrees of optimism and caution among different analysts.


Kendrick’s insights reflect a growing optimism in the cryptocurrency market, particularly as the 2024 election approaches.

His forecasts not only underscore the potential for Bitcoin to reach unprecedented levels but also highlight the intricate relationship between political developments and financial markets.

As the election draws closer, investors will undoubtedly keep a close watch on the political landscape and its implications for the future of digital assets.

For more information, refer to Geoff Kendrick and Standard Chartered Bank’s reports as well as Bernstein’s detailed analysis on how political outcomes could impact Bitcoin’s value.

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