- Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2026 if the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing.
- He believes a significant decline in U.S. AI technology stocks would be necessary to trigger further central bank money printing.
- Hayes expects Bitcoin to test support between $80,000 and $85,000 before rebounding.
- He suggested that Bitcoin may be close to its lowest point, but investors should consider waiting for further declines in tech stocks.
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of Bitmex and Chief Investment Officer at Maelstrom, shared his outlook for Bitcoin’s future price this week. In a recent broadcast on X, Hayes predicted that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by the year 2026 if the Federal Reserve implements quantitative easing, a policy in which a central bank injects money into the economy to stimulate growth.
Hayes noted that the main catalyst for such a significant Bitcoin rally would be renewed central bank money printing. He explained that, in his view, “for that, we need AI tech stocks to crater.” This scenario would likely push the Federal Reserve to intervene in the markets by loosening monetary policy.
According to statements on his X account, Hayes also said that Bitcoin may be nearing a market bottom after its recent dip to about $82,200. He forecasted that the cryptocurrency could test lower support levels between $80,000 and $85,000 before any recovery might occur.
Despite the possibility of Bitcoin being near its lowest point, Hayes advised that investors might want to wait for further declines in U.S. AI stocks before considering new positions in the cryptocurrency market. He emphasized that the performance of these tech stocks could play a crucial role in determining the timing and strength of Bitcoin’s next rally.
No further timeline for Federal Reserve action or specific market triggers was provided in Hayes’ comments.
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