VanEck: Bitcoin Safe Now but Quantum Risk Looms Soon

VanEck CEO Highlights Bitcoin's Quantum Computing Risks, Market Bear Phase, and Rising Interest in Privacy Coins Like ZCash

  • Bitcoin’s encryption faces potential risks from future quantum computing technologies.
  • VanEck CEO Jan van Eck supports Bitcoin as an investment but is aware of evolving security concerns.
  • Investors are increasingly interested in privacy-focused cryptocurrencies like ZCash.
  • The Bitcoin market is currently pricing in an expected bear phase aligned with its four-year halving cycle.
  • Bitcoin remains a key asset for portfolios due to its significant market liquidity and network activity.

Jan van Eck, CEO of the investment management firm VanEck, addressed concerns regarding Bitcoin’s encryption and its vulnerability to quantum computing during an interview on November 21, 2025. He highlighted that the Bitcoin community is actively questioning if its encryption is sufficient given the advancements in quantum technology, which could compromise the cryptocurrency’s private transactions. Despite these concerns, VanEck continues to support Bitcoin as an investment but emphasized that the firm would exit if fundamental issues arise with its security thesis, as stated in the interview available on CNBC.

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VanEck manages some of the largest crypto asset products, including a U.S.-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which has attracted over $1.2 billion in inflows since its launch in early 2024. He noted that many original Bitcoin supporters, often referred to as “maxis,” have started looking at Zcash (ZEC) for enhanced privacy features. Zcash has experienced a significant price increase of over 1,300% in the past three months, driven by a growing market interest in privacy tokens that facilitate anonymous transactions.

Cryptographer and cypherpunk Adam Back recently commented that Bitcoin is unlikely to face a meaningful threat from quantum computers for the next two to four decades. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin market is currently pricing in the anticipated effects of its four-year halving cycle, which historically includes bearish phases. Van Eck recommends employing dollar-cost averaging strategies during these downturns instead of aggressively chasing bullish trends.

He emphasized Bitcoin’s importance in investment portfolios due to its “mainstream global liquidity reasons” and the significant on-chain transaction activity. Van Eck explained the halving cycle’s impact, noting that Bitcoin has historically experienced considerable negative market performance every four years, with 2026 expected to follow this pattern. This outlook has led investors to position themselves in anticipation of a bearish movement.

Bitcoin’s price has declined more than 30% since reaching an all-time high above $120,000 in early October 2025, falling to slightly above $82,000 recently before rebounding to near $88,000 in early Monday trading.

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