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Stablecoin Surge Ties Crypto Liquidity Closer to Fed Policy

Stablecoin Boom Ties Crypto Liquidity to U.S. Treasuries Amid Market Risks and Regulation

  • Stablecoin market size has nearly doubled to $280 billion in the past year, further linking cryptocurrency liquidity to U.S. Federal Reserve policy.
  • Experts say stablecoins are shaping long-term market dynamics, as they now play a growing role in global financial stability.
  • Coinbase analysts project the stablecoin market could reach $1.2 trillion by 2028, possibly increasing demand for U.S. Treasuries.
  • Concerns remain about the risk of sudden redemptions, which could echo financial system strains similar to those experienced in 2008.
  • Elsewhere, Bitcoin and Ethereum hold steady, Gold hits a new high, and Japan’s stock market continues to attract foreign investment.

The stablecoin sector has grown to $280 billion, nearly doubling in one year, according to recent market data. This expansion is connecting more of the crypto market’s liquidity to short-term U.S. Treasury bonds, which are influenced by Federal Reserve decisions.

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Gracie Lin, CEO of OKX Singapore, stated that stablecoins now provide clearer long-term price signals. “The next step is unification — stablecoins have built the rails, now they need a unified market that delivers liquidity, efficiency and true utility for investors,” Lin wrote in comments to CoinDesk. Coinbase analysts expect the stablecoin market could reach $1.2 trillion by 2028, driving up purchases of U.S. Treasury securities by as much as $5.3 billion per week. Sudden inflows might lower yields, but fast redemptions could force issuers to sell off Treasuries, draining liquidity.

In a recent episode of Goldman Sachs’ Exchanges podcast, UC Berkeley’s Barry Eichengreen warned about comparisons to the 2008 money-market fund panic, when asset prices fell below the guaranteed value, causing market panic. “When a dollar money market share fell to 97 cents in 2008, chaos broke out, contagion fears spread, and the government stepped in to guarantee funds,” Eichengreen said.

Former U.S. Comptroller of the Currency Brian Brooks said on the same podcast that the new GENIUS Act, which requires every dollar of stablecoin to be matched by a dollar of Treasuries, could provide stronger oversight. “Supervision equals safety,” Brooks explained. “Every time a new token is issued, another dollar of Treasury securities has to be bought.”

Currently, Bitcoin is trading above $111,300, with markets showing little movement as investors await further cues. Ethereum is priced at $4,320, gaining 0.6% in the latest session. Gold has reached a fresh high at $3,540 per ounce, driven by expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut and concerns over government policies. The Japanese Nikkei 225 remains stable amid optimism and strong foreign investment inflows.

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Additional developments include a $44 million Ethereum purchase by Jack Ma-linked Yunfeng Financial, ongoing review by Jito executives regarding the SEC’s decision on liquid staking (The Block), and plans by the Ethereum Foundation to sell another 10,000 ETH after a recent deal.

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