- SpaceX’s longest-dated bonds have plummeted to 90.7 cents on the dollar, the worst performance among 1,450 investment-grade corporate notes.
- The company’s stock has fallen 42% from its peak, now trading below its $135 IPO price.
- Rising yields on the bonds, now at a junk-like 7.5%, signal growing investor concern over SpaceX’s creditworthiness.
The value of SpaceX’s longest-dated bonds collapsed to 90.7 cents on the dollar this week, pushing their effective yield to a junk-like 7.5% and ranking the notes dead last among 1,450 benchmark corporate bonds, according to data. Despite bond investors lending Elon Musk’s company billions and accepting a maturity date of 2056, the 9.3% decline in price represents the steepest fall in the investment-grade market.
The bonds’ credit spread, the extra yield demanded for taking on SpaceX risk, has worsened from 175 basis points at issuance to 231. SpaceX shares have cratered 42% from their peak, closing at $131.11 on Thursday, their first finish below the IPO price of $135. A bond trader at Post Oak Group explained the irony, telling CNBC that “Two weeks after the largest IPO in history, SpaceX is already tapping debt markets while carrying a $5 billion net loss.”
Company filings show capital expenditures jumped 86% to $20.7 billion, while operations from the xAI segment lost $6.4 billion. Meanwhile, reports indicate NVIDIA, SpaceX, and Amazon unloaded $75 billion of bonds on investors in weeks, saturating the market.
SpaceX priced its inaugural bond sale on June 23 in five slices maturing between 2031 and 2056, after securing a $20 billion bridge loan earlier this year. Buyers initially placed nearly $90 billion of orders, but then logged roughly $305 million in paper losses within the first two days of secondary trading, per reports.
When SpaceX revealed its bond sale on June 22, shares dropped 16% in a single day, and according to reports, the bonds slid to 94.52 cents by July 7 before fetching the current 90 cents. Analysis shows the effective yield has now reached 7.5%. Man Group calculated that SpaceX’s 30-year bonds pay a bigger effective yield than the average junk-rated borrower, despite holding an investment-grade rating.
Equity holders can dream of Mars, but bondholders own only the hope for 30 years of 6.65% coupon payments. Within three weeks, an increasingly uncertain market has already discounted many months of those payments by repricing the bonds lower.
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