Ripple BCG Report: Tokenized Assets to Reach $18.9 Trillion by 2033

BCG Forecasts Tokenized Assets to Reach $18.9 Trillion by 2033 Despite Downward Revision

  • BCG’s latest tokenization report forecasts market growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033, down from previous projections.
  • The adoption path includes three phases: institutional readiness, complex asset integration, and market transformation.
  • Trade finance and collateral management represent the most profitable tokenization use cases despite early setbacks.

Ripple released a new tokenization report yesterday, developed in partnership with Boston Consulting Group (BCG), predicting that tokenized assets will reach $18.9 trillion by 2033. This forecast includes stablecoins and tokenized deposits as part of the broader asset tokenization ecosystem, according to the report published on Ripple’s website.

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The analysis outlines a three-phase adoption framework for tokenized assets in institutional markets. Phase one focuses on low-risk adoption through pilot programs involving money market funds and corporate bonds. BlackRock‘s BUIDL tokenized money market fund launched in 2024 exemplifies this initial stage, alongside Singapore‘s Project Guardian. Rather than prioritizing scale, this phase centers on building institutional readiness for tokenization technologies.

The Path to Market Transformation

The second phase introduces more complex assets including private credit, structured finance, and corporate bonds. During this stage, institutions begin exploring permissioned public blockchains beyond private networks. However, BCG notes reluctance among some institutions to collaborate on market reshaping initiatives due to concerns about protecting existing revenue streams.

The third phase achieves full market transformation by expanding tokenized asset classes to include private equity, hedge funds, infrastructure, and real estate-backed debt. This progression requires established secondary markets with sufficient liquidity and acceptance of tokenized assets as collateral. The report suggests the current market status most closely aligns with early phase two development.

Profit Centers and Revised Projections

Trade finance emerges as the most promising tokenization application, followed by collateral and liquidity management. However, the sector has already witnessed setbacks with three major trade finance initiatives—Contour, Marco Polo, and we.trade—shutting down in recent years, while komgo remains operational. The report identifies tokenized collateral management as potentially saving $150-300 million for every $100 billion in daily repo transactions.

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BCG’s latest forecasts represent a significant downward revision from its 2022 predictions. The previous report projected $16 trillion in tokenized assets by 2030, while the current analysis estimates $9.4 trillion by the same date. For 2025, the forecast now stands at $600 billion including stablecoins, compared to the earlier projection of $3.1 trillion without stablecoins.

When excluding stablecoins and tokenized deposits from the latest forecast, the 2030 projection decreases to approximately $6.4 trillion—only 40% of the previous estimate. Market fragmentation remains a key hurdle to widespread tokenization adoption, according to the report.

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