Markets Plunge Amid Triple Threat: Tariffs, Budget Cuts, Global Tensions

  • Financial markets are experiencing a significant downturn that could develop into what the author calls “the crash of 2025.”
  • Three major factors driving the crash: potential tariffs, possible budget cuts (DOGE), and geopolitical instability.
  • The author has liquidated most investments except for precious metals, suggesting this could be a prolonged market decline similar to the dotcom crash or 1929 crash.

A significant market downturn is currently unfolding, with pre-market trading showing another 2% decline as financial indicators point toward what may become a major crash. This developing situation follows predictions made several weeks ago in a previous Forbes article that accurately forecasted the current market movement.

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Charts comparing the author’s March 20th prediction with current market performance show striking similarities, suggesting this decline may continue. The author notes this isn’t a sudden development but rather the culmination of concerning trends that have been building for some time.

A “Trifecta” of Economic Challenges

According to the analysis, three major factors are driving this market decline. First, proposed tariffs would reduce American consumer purchasing power while potentially triggering a global trade contraction. Second, potential budget cuts (referred to as “DOGE”) could remove approximately $1 trillion from economic circulation—equivalent to about 3% of GDP. Third, geopolitical uncertainty including NATO tensions and potential conflicts is creating market instability.

When combined, these factors create what the author describes as “a setup for an epic rout.” The analysis indicates that assets typically increase in value during periods of certainty but lose value in unstable environments. The current situation features multiple destabilizing elements occurring simultaneously.

Investment Strategy and Market Outlook

The author reports having already adjusted their portfolio by converting most investments to cash, maintaining only limited positions in precious metals and a few stocks. Even these remaining positions are held “reluctantly” since market crashes can affect all asset classes.

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Market projections presented in the article suggest the Nasdaq could fall substantially further. The author compares the potential duration of this downturn to previous major crashes, noting that both the dotcom crash and the 1929 crash lasted approximately two years.

For investors, the recommendation is to systematically evaluate holdings, eliminating lower-quality investments first before working up to higher-quality assets until reaching a comfortable position. The key question now, according to the analysis, is not whether the market is crashing but rather identifying the eventual bottom for strategic re-entry.

Without significant intervention, the author believes this could become “a defining crash,” concluding with the ominous warning: “Look out below.”

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