- Institutions have been net buyers of Bitcoin for eight consecutive days.
- Daily institutional purchases exceeded miner supply by about 76% on the latest measured day.
- Capriole Investments’ metric shows net buying includes corporate treasuries and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.
- Since 2020, flips to net institutional buying versus mined supply corresponded to an average BTC/USD rise of about 109%, with the previous flip producing 41% upside.
- Network economist Timothy Peterson noted historical patterns after three months of declines: Bitcoin was positive one month later 67% of the time, with an average gain of roughly 15% in those instances.
Data from Capriole Investments shows institutional Bitcoin buys in early January 2026 outpaced newly mined supply on most days. The fund’s Net Institutional Buying metric registered eight consecutive “green” days, and on the latest Monday excess demand reached about 76% more than miner additions.
The metric counts purchases by corporate treasuries and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, and it measures net institutional demand versus daily miner issuance. Charles Edwards, founder of the data provider, reported the sustained net buying and noted historical performance after such flips. “Institutions are once again net buyers of Bitcoin,” he wrote, and his data showed an average BTC/USD increase of roughly 109% since 2020, with the previous flip producing about 41% upside.
Network economist Timothy Peterson highlighted past patterns following multi-month declines. “History favors a return above $100,000 for Bitcoin this month. Bitcoin has had 3 consecutive months of declines. That has only happened 9 times since 2015,” he wrote, adding that “1 month later, Bitcoin was positive 67% of the time. However, the 3 negative instances were all in 2018 and marked the end of that bear market.” Peterson’s calculation of the shorter-term average gain was about 15%.
BTC/USD moved back to roughly $94,000 after Monday’s Wall Street open, marking its highest level since mid-November.
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