Gold Soars 38% in 2025, but Bitcoin Still Outpaces Over Time

Gold Outpaces Bitcoin in 2025, But Bitcoin Sets New Record Against U.S. Money Supply

  • Gold prices have increased by 38% year to date in 2025, outperforming Bitcoin’s 23% growth for the same period.
  • Despite its recent gains, gold remains below its inflation-adjusted peak from 2011 and is at similar levels as in 1975 when measured against U.S. money supply (M2).
  • Gold’s all-time high versus M2 was set in 1980, according to the report.
  • Bitcoin has set new highs against M2 during each bull cycle, most recently reaching a record in both dollar terms and relative to money supply last month.
  • Analysts suggest the difference highlights gold’s traditional role as a stable hedge versus bitcoin’s performance as a new monetary asset in an era of rapid money creation.

Gold and bitcoin have seen significant price increases in 2025, with gold rising 38% since the start of the year and bitcoin advancing 23%. Both assets are viewed by investors as possible hedges against inflation, particularly during periods of rapid money supply growth in the United States.

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When adjusted for increases in U.S. money supply, measured by M2, gold’s performance shows that, despite its strong rally, it remains below its 2011 peak. Gold’s current level relative to M2 matches its standing from 1975, with its historic high occurring in 1980. M2 is a measure of the total money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money.

By comparison, bitcoin has set new records relative to M2 in each of its previous major price cycles. Last month, bitcoin achieved both an all-time high price and a record high against the U.S. money supply, the report notes.

This comparison offers insight into the differing roles of gold and bitcoin. The data suggests that while gold remains a traditional means of preserving wealth and providing stability in investment portfolios, bitcoin’s price movements may reflect the evolving landscape of digital assets and their relationship to economic conditions affected by monetary expansion.

Gold’s long history as a store of value continues to distinguish it as a mainstay for risk-averse investors. Meanwhile, bitcoin’s more volatile trajectory signals how newer forms of money may react to global economic changes.

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For more detailed market charts and historical comparisons, readers may refer to TradingView’s data on bitcoin and M2 money supply.

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