Global Shift to Local Currencies Accelerates as Dollar Weakens

Global Shift to Local Currencies Accelerates as Reliance on U.S. Dollar Declines

  • More countries are shifting to local currencies for trade as the U.S. dollar weakens.
  • Banks in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia are leading a new framework to settle trade in their own currencies.
  • Nations like India, Russia, the UAE, and Iran are increasing the use of local currencies due to concerns over the U.S. dollar’s volatility.
  • Experts point to sanctions and the weaponization of the dollar as reasons for the global move toward alternative currencies.
  • Falling demand for U.S. assets is raising concerns about the dollar’s role as the primary global reserve currency.

The majority of countries worldwide are adopting local currencies for regional trade as the U.S. dollar faces a period of declining value. Several nations are advancing new agreements and financial structures, aiming to conduct international transactions without relying on the dollar.

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Banks in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia recently approved a Local Currency Transaction Framework, giving their central banks a central role. These institutions have appointed commercial banks to help settle trade and investments in their national currencies. According to a statement, “The central banks of Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand have appointed additional qualified commercial banks to operationalize the Local Currency Transaction Framework (LCTF), which promotes the use of local currencies in cross-border trade and investment.” More details are available in Fintech Malaysia.

Major economies, including India, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, and Iran, are also actively exploring local currency arrangements. They cite the U.S. dollar’s unpredictable nature and the impact of dollar-based sanctions as motivations for this change. “As the U.S. weaponizes the dollar in the Russian and Iranian sanctions, there is increasing desire by other developing countries to seek alternative currencies for trade, investment, and reserves, as well as to develop alternative multilateral clearance systems outside of SWIFT,” explained Shirley Ze Yu, a senior visiting fellow at the London School of Economics, to Al Jazeera.

Recent financial market analysis signals a further decline in demand for the U.S. dollar. Global Markets Investor on X reported that the dollar’s value continues to drop despite high Treasury yields, highlighting public debt concerns in the United States. “There may not be enough demand for U.S. assets, which weakens the U.S. dollar’s role as the global reserve currency,” the platform stated. A full post is available here.

Experts say a multipolar system, where several national currencies are used for trade and investment, could further reduce the U.S. dollar’s dominance internationally. These developments reflect growing efforts in many regions to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, reshaping global currency networks.

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ASEAN countries have also started using payment solutions such as QR codes to support local currency transactions, signaling a broader shift in settlement systems.

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