Crypto Markets Stable Despite Trump Tariff Drama, NYDIG Analyst Says

Bitcoin Shows Market Stability Despite Trump's Fluctuating Tariff Policies

  • Cryptocurrency markets have remained relatively stable despite widespread market turmoil caused by Trump’s fluctuating tariff policies.
  • Bitcoin has outperformed many traditional asset classes during the recent market volatility, with liquidations staying below typical levels seen during major market events.
  • Bitcoin’s declining volatility compared to traditional markets may make it increasingly attractive to risk parity portfolios, potentially creating a “virtuous cycle” of adoption.

Cryptocurrency markets have demonstrated remarkable stability amid broader financial turmoil triggered by President Donald Trump‘s inconsistent global tariff policies, according to analysis from New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG). While traditional markets experienced significant turbulence, crypto markets maintained relative order following Trump’s April 2 tariff announcements and subsequent policy adjustments.

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"Despite the carnage in traditional financial markets, the crypto markets have been relatively orderly," noted Greg Cipolaro, NYDIG’s global head of research, in an April 11 report. He emphasized that crypto markets typically show stress during broad risk-off movements, yet this pattern hasn’t materialized in the current economic climate.

Cipolaro highlighted that crypto perpetual futures rates have remained "persistently positive" despite the market uncertainty. Liquidations spiked briefly on April 6-7 following Trump’s initial tariff announcement, totaling approximately $480 million – significantly below levels seen during other major market events. Additionally, Tether (USDT), a widely used dollar-tracking stablecoin in crypto trading, experienced minimal price fluctuation despite trading slightly below its $1 peg.

Bitcoin’s Resilience Amid Market Turbulence

Trump’s tariff policies created substantial market confusion. Initially announced on April 2, the sweeping tariffs were paused just hours after taking effect on April 9, replacing them with a 10% base tariff for most countries while maintaining higher rates for China. Further confusion ensued when the administration clarified on April 13 that an earlier electronics exemption was merely temporary.

While Bitcoin wasn’t immune to the volatility, Cipolaro noted it "has fared far better than many other asset classes" at current price levels. Unlike traditional markets where volatility spiked dramatically, Bitcoin’s volatility has remained relatively stable. Bitcoin currently trades around $84,730, approximately 22.5% below its mid-January peak of over $108,000, according to CoinGecko.

Declining Volatility Creates New Opportunities

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The narrowing gap between Bitcoin’s volatility and that of traditional assets makes it "increasingly more appealing" to funds utilizing risk parity portfolio strategies, according to Cipolaro. "Perhaps investors are increasingly searching for stores of value not tied to sovereign countries and thus not affected by the trade turmoil," he suggested.

However, Ruslan Lienkha, YouHodler’s chief of markets, cautioned that despite market rebounds, technical indicators present concerns. He warned about a potential "death cross" formation on both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 charts, a pattern typically considered bearish for medium-term outlook.

As Cipolaro concluded, "Risk parity funds allocating to Bitcoin can help dampen its volatility — making the asset more attractive and potentially reinforcing a virtuous cycle of increased adoption and stability."

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