- Bitcoin may shift from explosive swings to steadier gains as institutional demand grows.
- Matt Hougan of Bitwise said the historical four-year cycle is ending and a longer-term, lower-volatility trend may begin.
- Sebastien Bea of ReserveOne agreed institutional buying is reducing price volatility.
- Egrag Crypto projects a gradual rise to about $175K for Bitcoin before a major correction.
In a recent interview on CNBC, Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, said Bitcoin’s price action may move into a steadier, lower-volatility phase starting next year.
Hougan added this view after the token’s notable price decline earlier this year.
Matt Hougan stated: “But do I think we’re in a four-year cycle? No I think we’re in a 10-year grind upward of strong returns, not spectacular returns, but strong returns, lower volatility, and some up and down. But I think next year will be up. And so I guess from that perspective, I think the four-year cycle is quote-unquote dead.” He linked this outlook to sustained institutional purchases.
Sebastien Bea of ReserveOne echoed the institutional view and said such buying has already begun to lower volatility.
He said: “And so I think that that feature has already started to play into the decrease in the volatility of Bitcoin thus far. We’re starting to see some evidence that that’s the case. If Matt’s right, that we’re in the beginning of a 10-year grind, we should start to see more and more of that over time as institutions add Bitcoin to their asset allocation.”
Market commentators also shared price scenarios.
Egrag Crypto posted on Twitter that his macro view expects a gradual move to about $175K for Bitcoin before a significant correction (tweet). The post framed this as a patient, risk-on path prior to future down moves.
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