- Bitcoin’s outflow/inflow ratio dropped to 0.9, reflecting increased long-term accumulation.
- BTC price has mostly stayed between $100,000 and $110,000 despite strong short-selling.
- Over 19,400 BTC, worth about $2.11 billion, moved into institutional wallets from dormant addresses.
- The current trend in exchange outflows mirrors the period before previous major bull runs.
- Analysts suggest Bitcoin is forming a structural bottom, with a sharp correction below $100,000 seen as less likely.
Bitcoin has maintained daily closes above $100,000 since breaking this level on May 8, 2025, staying within a tight price range despite heavy short-selling pressure. Market data indicates a shift toward accumulation, with the BTC outflow/inflow ratio dropping to 0.9, a sign that investors are moving Bitcoin off exchanges and holding it for the long term.
On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows this ratio is at its lowest reading since late 2022, a period that marked the end of a major bear market. A ratio below one typically points to investors choosing to store Bitcoin outside exchanges, which often happens when long-term holders are confident about price prospects.
The report also highlights that over 19,400 BTC—valued at about $2.11 billion—were shifted this week from dormant wallets into large institutional addresses, according to crypto analyst Maartunn. These coins had not been touched for three to seven years, signaling planned institutional strategies rather than spontaneous trades.
Despite continued short interest from traders using Binance’s derivatives platform, Bitcoin’s price has not dropped below the current range. Negative Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data, which tracks whether buyers or sellers are in control, signals strong sell activity, but the price stability suggests that this selling is being absorbed—likely due to ongoing accumulation.
Such exchange outflow patterns were last seen during Bitcoin’s macro bottom near $15,500 in December 2022, just before the start of a sustained rally. Typically, an outflow/inflow ratio below 1.05 is associated with price bottoms, while ratios above 1.05 have coincided with corrections at market tops, according to CryptoQuant’s analytics (source).
As Bitcoin continues to absorb sell pressure and long-term holders accumulate, market observers point to growing confidence that the $100,000 to $110,000 range could become the new base before another upward move. However, the article notes that all investments carry risk and urges readers to conduct their own research.
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