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Arthur Hayes: AI Credit Event Could Crash Bitcoin To $1 Million

Bitcoin falls amid AI bubble fears and MicroStrategy pressure, while analysts predict potential trillion-dollar shocks.

  • Bitcoin fell toward $60,000 as MicroStrategy‘s convertible note fell to a record low, pressuring its bitcoin-buying strategy.
  • Trader Arthur Hayes warns an AI “credit event” could dwarf the 2008 crisis, predicting a massive money-printing response could send bitcoin to $1 million.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh held interest rates steady at his first meeting, despite political pressure for cuts, citing persistent inflation and strong jobs data.
  • Major tech firms are projected to spend a combined $725 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, raising concerns of a bubble.

On June 19, the Bitcoin Price dropped sharply, nearing $60,000 per bitcoin, as MicroStrategy‘s crucial convertible note debt instrument collapsed. This decline in the company’s primary funding tool has sparked fears about its ability to continue its aggressive bitcoin acquisition strategy. Consequently, this has intensified selling pressure across the broader cryptocurrency market.

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However, this current volatility occurs against a backdrop of a much larger potential financial shock. Closely watched trader Arthur Hayes has predicted an AI “credit event” is about to crash the market, suggesting it could be bigger than 2008. “If we do get an AI credit event, it will be bigger than 2008 because the whole world is in this delusion that AI is the biggest technology ever,” Hayes said on a recent podcast.

Hayes argued that if AI investments fail to meet their cost of capital, capital could flee “straight” into bitcoin. He believes the monetary response to an AI bubble implosion would dwarf the subprime mortgage crisis and propel bitcoin to $1 million. This warning comes as the biggest tech hyperscalers are Amazon-and-Microsoft/” target=”_blank” rel=”nofollow noopener noreferrer” data-ga-track=”ExternalLink:https://www.statista.com/chart/35046/capital-expenditure-of-meta-alphabet-amazon-and-microsoft/” aria-label=”projected”>projected to spend $725 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026 alone.

Meanwhile, new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has left interest rates on hold at his first meeting. Despite political pressure for cuts, strong economic data justified the pause. “Inflation is still at a three-year high, and payrolls are coming in hot,” noted Iggy Ioppe of Theo. This monetary stance forms a critical backdrop for all risk assets, including bitcoin and the overheated AI sector.

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