- Predictions show an 80% chance of XRP exceeding $3.50 in 2025.
- Network activity and wallet holdings for XRP are increasing to record levels.
- The likelihood of XRP reaching $4 or $5 declines sharply, reflecting investor caution at higher targets.
- Regulatory actions and the status of a possible U.S. spot ETF are closely watched by the market.
- Technical analysis shows XRP trading below near-term resistance with a neutral momentum reading.
Traders remain optimistic about the future value of XRP, with new data showing increased confidence that the cryptocurrency could surpass $3 in 2025. According to recent statistics from market prediction platform Kalshi, there is now an 80% probability that XRP will reach $3.50 or higher during the year.
The odds for XRP attaining $3.40 or more have also risen to 72%. However, Kalshi data indicates that probability diminishes as projection targets rise: the chance of XRP climbing to $3.75 stands at 30%, and the likelihood of breaking $4 is 29%. Hitting $5 sits at an estimated 32%.
Finbold reported that on-chain signals remain strong for XRP. Recently, over 2,700 wallets now hold more than 1 million XRP tokens each—a milestone for the network. Additionally, daily active addresses have surged above 295,000, representing an eight-fold jump from the previous three-month average. This indicates increased user engagement and activity on the XRP ledger.
Regulatory news could move the market further. Investors are closely monitoring any updates from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including speculation over a possible approval for a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) linked to XRP. Market participants are also watching for any possible resolution in the ongoing Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit, as a settlement could impact legal clarity for the token.
Despite positive sentiment in forecast markets, XRP has experienced short-term declines. The cryptocurrency was recently priced at $2.19, showing a slight decrease of over 2% in 24 hours and nearly 5% over the past week. This price remains below the $2.30 resistance level.
Technically, XRP trades slightly below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2.30 but stays above the 200-day SMA of $1.87, which is viewed by traders as a sign of an overall upward trend. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI), an indicator used to measure momentum, is at 53.72, signaling a neutral status.
Further price movement for XRP will likely depend on breaking key resistance thresholds and on the resolution of regulatory questions in the coming months.
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