XRP Eyes Rally as ETFs and Buy Signal Boost 2026 Hopes Surge

2025 SEC settlement sent XRP to $3.65; exchange-held supply down 57% as buyers defend $1.90, ETF inflows hit $1.14B and TD Sequential flashes buy

  • Ripple settled its US lawsuit in 2025, helping XRP reach a $3.65 all-time high in July 2025 before sliding below $2 by early 2026.
  • Open interest in XRP began 2026 at a six-month low, though the token rose over the past week, showing short-term bullish momentum.
  • Glassnode data shows exchange-held supply fell to 1.6 billion XRP, a 57% drop since October, its lowest in eight years.
  • Buyers are defending $1.90; a sustained move could target the 50-day moving average near $2.04 and a key resistance at $2.20, where a break could open a path toward $3 (about a 50% increase).
  • A buy signal from the TD Sequential indicator was noted by Ali Martinez, and several spot ETFs launched in 2025 have drawn $1.14 billion in net inflows as of December 26, according to SoSoValue.

Ripple settled its legal dispute with the U.S. SEC in 2025, lifting investor sentiment and helping XRP reach an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. Since then, the token has declined to below $2 as it entered 2026, with open interest at a six-month low even as prices rose over the past week.

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Data from Glassnode shows exchange balances of XRP have fallen to 1.6 billion XRP, a drop of roughly 57% since October and the lowest level in eight years. Analysts interpret the decline as holders moving assets into long-term storage or custody rather than listing them for sale.

Market participants have been defending the $1.90 level. If buyers hold that price, the next upside targets are the 50-day moving average near $2.04 and the $2.20 resistance. Market commentary in the original report noted that a clear break above $2.20 could signal a trend shift and open the door to a rally toward $3, representing roughly a 50% increase from current levels.

Technical analysis mention in the source noted that the TD Sequential flashed a buy signal on a broader scale, according to Ali Martinez on social media. The report suggested that this signal could help lift open interest if buying continues.

Several spot ETFs for XRP launched in 2025 and have drawn institutional participation. According to SoSoValue, those ETFs attracted about $1.14 billion in net inflows as of December 26, which investors view as validating XRP‘s role in cross-border payments.

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