Walmart Ticks Up on Beat, Shares Cautious Outlook

Walmart's cautious forecast overshadows narrow profit beat, keeping shares flat.

  • Walmart narrowly topped Q4 profit estimates but issued a more guarded forecast for 2026 and 2027.
  • The retailer’s first-quarter sales and profit guidance falls below Wall Street’s prior expectations.
  • CFO John David Rainey stated the company is starting the year with “a level of conservatism” amid an unstable economic backdrop.
  • Analyst price targets for WMT stock range from $108 to $130, with shares trading near $120.

Retail titan Walmart reported mixed financial results on Thursday, causing its stock to remain largely flat. The company marginally surpassed Wall Street’s earnings forecast for its fiscal fourth quarter, according to Bloomberg consensus data.

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For the full 2026 fiscal year, Walmart posted revenue of $715.9 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.64. However, the company’s forward-looking statements took a decidedly cautious tone for the upcoming periods.

Consequently, its outlook for the first quarter of 2027 undershoots analyst expectations for both revenue and profit growth. Meanwhile, its full-year forecast also projects more conservative growth than the nearly 5% Wall Street predicted.

CFO John David Rainey explained this strategy to investors, stating, “Our goal is to outperform this guidance, but we believe it’s prudent to start the year with a level of conservatism given the backdrop is still somewhat unstable.” This deliberate caution frames the company’s near-term financial posture.

Analysts remain divided on the stock’s trajectory despite the tempered outlook. For instance, Telsey Advisory Group and Tigress Financial maintain high price targets of $130.

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