- Trump’s proposed trade tariffs could drive Bitcoin prices higher through dollar weakening effects.
- The strategy mirrors historical Plaza Accord of 1985, suggesting coordinated currency market intervention.
- Trade imbalances may be addressed through dollar devaluation to boost US exports.
- Bitwise executive identifies this as his strongest macro trade prediction for 2024.
- Lower yields on US government securities expected as a secondary effect of trade policies.
Bitcoin’s price could experience significant upward momentum as a result of former President Donald Trump‘s proposed trade tariffs, according to Jeff Park, head of alpha strategies at Bitwise. The analysis suggests that potential currency market interventions could mirror historical precedents of coordinated dollar devaluation.
“This is undoubtedly my highest conviction macro trade for the year,” Park stated on social media, drawing parallels between current trade policy proposals and the historic 1985 Plaza Accord – a landmark agreement that orchestrated a deliberate weakening of the US dollar.
The Plaza Accord, signed by five major economies including the United States, Japan, West Germany, France, and the United Kingdom, serves as a template for potential currency market intervention. This historical precedent resulted in a significant devaluation of the US dollar to address trade imbalances, similar to the current objectives.
Park’s analysis suggests that the implementation of new tariffs would serve a dual purpose: weakening the dollar’s position in global markets while simultaneously reducing yields on US Treasury securities. This combination of factors could create favorable conditions for alternative stores of value, particularly Bitcoin.
The cryptocurrency market has historically demonstrated sensitivity to macroeconomic policy shifts, especially those affecting dollar strength and international trade dynamics. Park’s assessment indicates that Bitcoin could benefit from institutional capital seeking hedge positions against dollar weakness and trade policy uncertainty.
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