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SpaceX, OpenAI IPOs Could Top $1T; Nvidia Still “King”—Newman

Futurum CEO Predicts Trillion-Dollar IPOs, Apple’s Return to AI, OpenAI Model Risks, and More

  • SpaceX and OpenAI are projected to go public in 2026 with valuations above $1 trillion, with SpaceX anticipated to lead as the year’s largest IPO.
  • Amazon and Meta are expected to rebound and become “big winners” in 2026 due to strategic investments in Artificial Intelligence.
  • NVIDIA is predicted to remain dominant in AI through 2026, potentially surpassing Google as the world’s most profitable company.
  • In cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is expected to recover from 2025 challenges and reach new all-time highs in 2026, along with assets like Ethereum and Solana; altcoins may face continued long-term pressure.
  • Retail investor sentiment remains highly bullish for SpaceX but is more cautious for Amazon, OpenAI, Meta, and Nvidia.

Daniel Newman, CEO of The Futurum Group, shared a series of predictions for 2026 covering technology, cryptocurrencies, initial public offerings (IPOs), and company performance trends. His forecasts included detailed expectations for major firms in the technology and finance sectors.

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According to Newman’s post, both SpaceX and OpenAI are expected to conduct IPOs in 2026, each with a valuation that exceeds $1 trillion. Newman anticipates that SpaceX will likely secure the title of the year’s largest IPO, surpassing OpenAI. He also mentioned that other tech companies such as Anthropic, Canva, and Databricks may draw significant investor attention during this period.

Despite OpenAI‘s anticipated high-profile listing, Newman predicts that the company could lose its edge in the large language model (LLM) market to competitors like Google, Anthropic, and Grok. He noted, "Despite its designer trillion dollar IPO, we believe the moat of the LLM is waning. This favors full stack AI and sadly OpenAI doesn’t hold the cards here," while also citing the risk of OpenAI losing market share after its IPO.

In the area of enterprise artificial intelligence, Newman expects a surge in demand for computing power as AI applications grow. This could lead to substantial investments and increased merger and acquisition activity, referencing Alphabet’s recent $4.75 billion acquisition of Intersect. He also foresees Apple intensifying its AI strategy, particularly in connection with CEO Tim Cook’s future exit. Additionally, companies like Palantir, IBM, and Salesforce are projected to see revenue benefits from an enterprise AI renaissance.

Throughout these changes, Newman maintains that Nvidia will remain the most influential player in AI through 2026. He stated, "A little bit like the Tom Brady era in New England, people are getting tired of seeing NVIDIA win all the time. But that doesn’t mean it won’t," and predicts that Nvidia may have the opportunity to surpass Google as the world’s most profitable company.

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In the cryptocurrency sector, Newman describes Bitcoin’s 2025 slowdown as "more of a blip" and predicts Bitcoin will reach new all-time highs in 2026, pulling up major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana. He cautions investors about altcoins, noting their long-term value is under pressure.

Retail sentiment data from Stocktwits showed that investors are extremely bullish on SpaceX, with sentiment remaining bullish but more subdued around Amazon (AMZN) and OpenAI. Conversely, sentiment was bearish for Meta and Nvidia at the time of reporting.

For more details, visit Daniel Newman’s original post.

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