Solana Protocol Upgrades Could Slash Validator Revenues by 95%, Says VanEck

Solana Protocol Upgrades Could Cut Validator Revenue by 95% as March Vote Approaches

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  • Solana’s upcoming protocol upgrades could reduce validator revenue by up to 95%, potentially threatening smaller operators.
  • Two key proposals (SIMDs) will be voted on in March, focusing on staker rewards distribution and adjusting SOL token inflation.
  • VanEck‘s research head believes these changes will strengthen Solana’s long-term sustainability despite short-term revenue impacts.

Solana validators are set to vote this March on two protocol upgrades that could dramatically reshape the network’s economics. According to asset manager VanEck, these changes may significantly cut validator revenues but ultimately promote the blockchain’s long-term health.

The two proposed changes, known as Solana Improvement Documents (SIMDs), have sparked considerable debate within the Solana ecosystem. VanEck’s digital asset research head Matthew Sigel said on March 4 that these upgrades could potentially slash validator revenues by as much as 95%, creating serious challenges for smaller validators.

“While these changes may reduce staking rewards, we believe lowering inflation is a worthy goal that strengthens Solana’s long-term sustainability,” Sigel explained.

The first proposal, SIMD 0123, scheduled for voting on March 6, aims to create an in-protocol mechanism for distributing Solana’s priority fees to validator stakers. Currently, priority fees—payments traders make to process transactions more quickly—account for approximately 40% of network revenues, but validators aren’t required to share these with stakers.

This change would not only increase rewards for those staking SOL tokens but also “discourages off-chain trading agreements between traders and validators, reinforcing on-chain execution,” according to Sigel.

The second and more impactful proposal, SIMD 0228, would adjust SOL’s inflation rate to inversely track the percentage of token supply being staked. This could potentially reduce dilution and lower selling pressure from stakers who treat their rewards as income.

Currently, Solana’s inflation rate stands at 4%, down from its initial 8%, but still above its long-term target of 1.5%, according to data from Coin Metrics. Under current rules, inflation declines at a fixed rate of 15% annually.

The second proposal was primarily drafted by Multicoin Capital’s Vishal Kankani, according to ChainCatcher. Notably, Multicoin owns a “significant position” in Jito, Solana’s most popular staking pool, as the firm said in a March report. As of December, more than 93% of Solana validators use Jito’s software to maximize earnings from block-building.

These proposed changes come as asset managers continue pushing U.S. regulators to approve SOL exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Issuers are also requesting permission for cryptocurrency staking within ETFs to enhance returns. Bloomberg Intelligence sets the odds of SOL ETFs receiving approval in 2025 at approximately 70%.

For Solana stakers, who lock up SOL as collateral with validators to earn rewards from network fees, these changes represent a significant shift in the network’s economic model. While potentially reducing short-term rewards, the proposals aim to create a more sustainable long-term structure for the blockchain.

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