Polymarket Taps US Influencers to Promote Election Betting Despite Ban

Despite US trading restrictions, crypto prediction platform enlists social media personalities to promote election betting

  • Polymarket actively recruited U.S.-based social media influencers to promote election betting content despite federal restrictions on American users
  • Major Instagram accounts including Mr Moist (5.5M followers) and HoodClips (12M followers) ran sponsored Polymarket content
  • A single trader placed approximately $28 million in Trump-related bets across four Polymarket accounts
  • Polymarket claims 99% of their website visitors only consume news without placing trades
  • The platform denies any market manipulation related to the large Trump-focused positions

Polymarket’s Controversial U.S. Marketing Push

Prediction market platform Polymarket has come under scrutiny for targeting U.S.-based social media influencers to promote election betting content, despite federal restrictions preventing American users from placing bets on the platform, according to a recent US-social-media-influencers-for-election-content”>Bloomberg report.

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The platform’s senior director of growth, Armand Saramout, initiated contact with several prominent U.S. influencers in September 2023, aiming to increase platform awareness. Notable Instagram accounts that subsequently published sponsored Polymarket content include Mr Moist (5.5 million followers), HoodClips (12 million followers), and finance-focused Eric Pan (203,000 followers).

High-Profile Influencer Partnerships

Instagram personality Xavi Fahard, who manages an account exceeding 16 million followers, confirmed establishing a multi-post promotional agreement with Polymarket. Fahard indicated that the sponsored content’s performance aligned with typical engagement rates for paid promotions.

A Polymarket spokesperson acknowledged the U.S. market targeting strategy while emphasizing that the platform "reached out to influencers on both sides of the aisle to promote our data and drive traffic and eyeballs to polymarket.com." The spokesperson added that "99% of visitors consume news and never place a trade."

$28 Million Trump Betting Controversy

The marketing strategy revelations coincide with increased attention on Polymarket following a New York Times investigation that uncovered a single trader with a financial services background placing approximately $28 million in Trump-related bets distributed across four separate accounts.

In response to concerns about potential market manipulation, Polymarket issued a statement defending the trader’s activities, maintaining that the substantial positions reflected personal investment decisions rather than an attempt to influence market outcomes.

Regulatory and Compliance Considerations

The platform’s aggressive marketing approach in the U.S. raises questions about compliance with federal regulations governing prediction markets and election betting. While Polymarket positions itself as an information source, the active recruitment of U.S.-based influencers to promote betting-related content appears to challenge regulatory boundaries.

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The situation highlights the complex relationship between cryptocurrency-based prediction markets, traditional betting regulations, and the evolving landscape of social media marketing. As these platforms continue to operate in regulatory gray areas, increased scrutiny from authorities and media outlets appears likely.

These developments occur against the backdrop of growing interest in cryptocurrency-based prediction markets and their role in political discourse, particularly as the U.S. approaches another presidential election cycle. The intersection of social media influence, prediction markets, and electoral politics continues to present new challenges for regulators and platform operators alike.

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