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Palihapitiya Sees ‘Obvious Logic’ in Tesla-SpaceX Merger

Palihapitiya calls Tesla-SpaceX merger logical; Wall Street agrees

  • Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya said there is “very obvious industrial logic” in combining Tesla and SpaceX under one capital structure.
  • Palihapitiya highlighted SpaceX’s direct-to-cell business as an underappreciated growth driver for the combined entity.
  • Wall Street firms including Jefferies and JPMorgan have acknowledged the strategic rationale, with Jefferies raising its TSLA price target to $400.

Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya said Tuesday on CNBC that there is “very obvious industrial logic” in combining Tesla and SpaceX under one corporate structure. Tesla shares rose 0.4% to $396.18 following his remarks.

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Palihapitiya, an early SpaceX investor often called the “SPAC King,” previously predicted that SpaceX could reverse-merge into Tesla rather than pursue a traditional IPO. He reiterated that view, saying a combined company would have one balance sheet and capital structure to fund “the broad swath of things that he’s doing as one vehicle.”

He called SpaceX “an incredible company” and “the outlier of outliers.” Beyond a merger, Palihapitiya highlighted SpaceX‘s direct-to-cell business as an underappreciated growth driver, stating “you’re going to see an enormous business in the domestic cellular market.”

Wall Street is also weighing the idea. Jefferies recently said a merger carries strategic logic, estimating a nil-premium deal could leave Elon Musk with 55.3% voting control. JPMorgan called the concept “strategically coherent on paper,” citing potential links across AI, robotics, energy, transportation and space, while flagging governance risks.

The merger talks come ahead of Tesla‘s second-quarter earnings on July 22, with Wall Street expecting EPS of $0.32 and revenue of $26.02 billion. Jefferies raised its TSLA price target to $400 from $375 and maintained a ‘Hold’ rating after Tesla delivered 480,100 vehicles in the quarter, well above estimates.

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Meanwhile, retail sentiment on Stocktwits has been ‘bullish’ for a month. So far this year, Tesla‘s stock has lagged its “Magnificent Seven” peers, down about 12%, making it the group’s second-worst performer.

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