- Morgan Stanley projects India to be the fastest-growing economy in the BRICS group through 2026.
- India’s gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by 5.9% in 2025 and 6.4% in 2026.
- Strong domestic demand and active policy support are driving India’s current economic growth.
- India’s economic performance is drawing increased attention from global investors.
- As of 2026, India will assume the BRICS presidency, further reinforcing its role in the group.
Morgan Stanley forecasts that India will lead economic growth among BRICS countries through 2026. The bank expects India’s GDP to grow by 5.9% in 2025 and 6.4% in 2026, positioning the country ahead of other members in the bloc.
This outlook is supported by strong domestic demand in India and several policy measures aimed at boosting the economy. India’s 2024 GDP growth reached 6.2%, signaling ongoing positive momentum into future years.
According to Ridham Desai, Chief Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, “Global uncertainty is providing investors with an opportunity to buy India’s long-term story as the country moves through a decade of record growth, supported by strong macro stability with improving terms of trade, a declining primary deficit and controlled inflation.” The report notes an emerging cycle of capital spending and an increasing demand for debt financing, which is expected to support annual earnings growth in the mid-to-high teens over the next five years.
Morgan Stanley highlights digitalization, demographic changes, and government spending on infrastructure as key drivers of India’s economic development. Policy reforms are encouraging private sector participation and contributing to the country’s share of approximately 13% of the total economic output within BRICS.
India’s role as the upcoming 2026 BRICS president is expected to strengthen its influence within the group. Supportive government action and strong local fundamentals continue to position India as a main driver of growth for the BRICS bloc.
For more details on related developments, see: India Confirms BRICS De-Dollarization Efforts Despite Trump’s Pressure and BRICS Countries GDP To Grow 3 Times Faster Than G7 by 2028.
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