Microsoft Hits $4T; Analysts Forecast 30% MSFT Gains in 2026

Microsoft nears $4T market cap as Edge AI and Azure drive ~40% cloud growth; analysts lift price targets to $640–$650.

  • Microsoft closed 2025 with a roughly $4 trillion market value and its stock up about 15% year-to-date.
  • Growth in Edge AI and Azure cloud services drove stronger financial results, including about $78 billion in quarterly revenue and ~40% cloud growth.
  • Major analysts raised 2026 targets, with firms naming Microsoft a top buy and projecting sizable upside.
  • Price targets cited include $645, $640 and $650, and the stock trades mid 52-week range and above its 200-day moving average.

Microsoft (MSFT) ended 2025 with a market capitalization near $4 trillion and its stock up roughly 15% year-to-date, though it slipped after a November all-time high. Wall Street analysts expect further gains in 2026 and cite the company’s AI and cloud momentum as the main reason.

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The company’s advances centered on Edge AI and Azure cloud computing, fueled by AI investment from Windows developers and enterprise customers. The October quarter reported approximately $78 billion in revenue and about 40% growth in Azure and cloud services.

Edge AI: on-device or near-device processing of AI tasks that reduces latency and bandwidth use.
Azure: Microsoft’s cloud computing platform that provides computing, storage, and networking services.
Cloud computing: delivery of computing services (servers, storage, databases, networking, software) over the internet.

< b>Azure now grows faster than legacy businesses such as Windows and Office, making cloud services a key revenue driver. This shift supports views that the stock can remain resilient in market charts and performance metrics.

Analysts have raised 2026 forecasts on the AI and cloud strength. According to Wedbush’s Dan Ives, he “calls Microsoft a ‘core winner’ for 2026”, while Evercore ISI’s Julian Emanuel noted limited systemic risks tied to the AI trade.

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Firms including Bernstein and Evercore ISI set targets of $645 and $640 respectively, and Piper Sandler holds a $650 target. All of these firms rate Microsoft as a buy, and the stock currently trades in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.

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