- Gold has entered a parabolic rise amid rising geopolitical tensions and increased institutional demand.
- China reported official additions but analysts estimate much larger hidden purchases, boosting global demand.
- “The price of gold is forecasted to hit $12,187 by the end of 2026 … and $19,409 by the end of 2030,” according to a recent forecast.
- Major banks and central bank buying is cited as a factor supporting higher prices.
- Market watchers note metals outperforming crypto and equities in early 2026.
Gold has climbed into a parabolic phase in late January 2026 as geopolitical tensions and higher institutional demand push prices up. The metal trades around $5,000 an ounce and has gained attention from central banks and large investors. Analysts point to global unrest, including the US-Greenland issue, and steady bank purchases as key drivers.
A Kobeissi Letter tweet cited estimates attributing larger hidden purchases to China. “China continues to stockpile gold behind the scenes. China acquired +10 tonnes of gold in November, ~11 times more than officially reported by the central bank, according to Goldman Sachs estimates. Similarly, in September, estimated purchases reached +15 tonnes, or 10 times more than officially reported. Furthermore, China officially bought an additional 0.9 tonnes in December, pushing the total gold reserves to a record 2,306 tonnes. This also marked the 14th consecutive monthly purchase. In 2025, China’s total reported gold purchases reached +27 tonnes. Assuming official purchases were 10% of what China is actually buying, this suggests China acquired +270 tonnes of physical gold in 2025.”
Market data from CoinCodex shows model-based end-of-year forecasts. “The price of gold is forecasted to hit $12,187 by the end of 2026 (+139.62% compared to current rates) and $19,409 by the end of 2030 (+281.61%).”
Reports also note that global banks and other large holders are increasing gold allocations, which supports higher demand and prices. Metals have outperformed crypto and stocks so far in 2026, keeping gold and silver on investor radars.
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