Federal Reserve Rate Cut Looms Amid Political Turmoil, Crypto Reacts

Fed Rate Cut Looms Amid Political Turmoil, Raising Crypto Market Volatility Fears

  • The Federal Reserve is expected to cut U.S. interest rates on Wednesday, potentially affecting crypto markets.
  • Lower rates often encourage investors to move from bonds into higher-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.
  • The Trump administration has accused Fed governor Lisa Cook of mortgage fraud as part of a bid to remove her from the central bank.
  • Stephen Miran, a White House economic adviser, has been confirmed to the Federal Reserve board, raising concerns about the central bank’s independence.
  • The legal process over Cook’s position is ongoing, while market participants expect increased crypto and asset volatility after the rate decision.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, a move that many analysts say could impact the cryptocurrency market by making riskier assets more attractive. The anticipated rate change comes as part of a heated political debate over the independence of the central bank, with disputes surrounding the positions of board members.

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The Trump administration has accused Fed governor Lisa Cook of mortgage fraud, seeking her immediate removal. Cook denied all accusations and refused to leave her post. An appeals court in Washington has blocked the removal for now, allowing Cook to continue serving while legal action is pending. At the same time, the Senate confirmed White House adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, though his term runs only through January 2026.

Experts say a less independent Fed may change how monetary policy is set. “The Fed has great authority over banks, and ultimately, banks are quasi-regulators of the crypto industry by determining who can and cannot access financial services,” said Aaron Brogan, founder of Brogan Law. He added: “That influence is unlikely to decrease with a less independent Fed, but the policy might. I would wager it would be more changeable and susceptible to public whims.” The independence of the central bank is seen as essential for stable policy, though there is uncertainty about how political influence could change decisions.

Crypto market participants are preparing for possible changes in asset flows. Kevin Rusher of RAAC stated that lowering rates could free up as much as $7.2 trillion currently in money market funds, which may move into investments like decentralized finance (DeFi) and real-world asset (RWA) projects. Alice Liu from CoinMarketCap noted assets such as Ether and Solana, which are seen as high-growth cryptocurrencies, may be more affected than Bitcoin after rate cuts.

Past trends show both Gold and Bitcoin have risen after previous rate cuts, according to the Kobeissi Letter. Longer-term investors in these assets have historically benefited during low-rate periods. While the political outcome for the Fed remains unclear, traders are watching closely as the monetary policy shift unfolds.

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For more background on recent rate history, see Trading Economics. Full details on the legal case around Cook are available via Reuters and The Washington Post.

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