Europe’s $8T US Holdings Threaten Sell-Off Over Greenland Now…

Talk of a U.S. move on Greenland stokes sell-off fears as Europe holds about $8 trillion in dollar assets

  • Europe holds roughly $8 trillion in U.S. dollar assets, including Treasuries, bonds and equities.
  • Concerns over a potential sell-off have risen after talks about U.S. interest in Greenland.
  • Treasuries sold off recently as yields climbed to their highest level in more than four months.
  • George Saravelos of Deutsche Bank warned the U.S. depends on foreign holders of dollar assets and faces limited leverage.
  • Chris Weston of Pepperstone said U.S. assets now carry a higher political risk premium, and investors are eyeing Gold as an alternative.

Europe holds close to $8 trillion in U.S. dollar assets, and analysts warn that talk of a U.S. move on Greenland could trigger a major sell-off that would hit U.S. markets. Treasuries sold off on Tuesday as yields rose to their highest level in over four months, intensifying market concern. The issue links geopolitical tension with large cross-border holdings of U.S. assets.

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George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank’s global head of currency research, highlighted the exposure in a note; you can read the commentary wrote George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank’s global head of currency research. He pointed out that the U.S. economy depends on other countries holding dollar-denominated assets to finance its deficits.

Saravelos added that the U.S. has limited bargaining power over Greenland because of dollar exposure. He wrote, “Europe owns Greenland; it also owns a lot of Treasuries,” and warned, “For all its military and economic strength, the US has one key weakness: it relies on others to pay its bills via large external deficits.”

He also said European support could be less assured if geoeconomic ties fray. As he put it, “In an environment where the geoeconomic stability of the Western alliance is being disrupted existentially, it is not clear why Europeans would be as willing to play this part.”

Market commentators noted higher political risk in U.S. assets. Chris Weston of Pepperstone said, “The market dynamic we are seeing increasing evidence of is that US assets are now carrying a much higher political risk premium,” and investors are looking to gold as a safer alternative. In sum, the U.S. faces constrained leverage as roughly $8 trillion of Europe-held assets factor into any geopolitical dispute.

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