Dalio: Bitcoin, Gold Better Than Bonds as Global Debt Crisis Looms

Gold Losing Ground as Tech-Savvy Investors Turn to Digital Assets for Inflation Hedge

  • Ray Dalio warns of impending debt crisis in major economies, recommends Bitcoin and Gold as safer alternatives.
  • Bitcoin recently reached $100,000 before settling at $98,000, while gold hit record levels of $2,697 per ounce.
  • BitWise Asset Management projects Bitcoin could reach $850,000 by 2030, matching gold’s $18 trillion market cap.
  • U.S. and China face “unprecedented levels” of debt that Dalio considers unsustainable.
  • Dalio’s stance on Bitcoin has evolved from previous skepticism to viewing it as a hedge against debt risks.

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, signaled a shift toward Bitcoin and gold as protective assets amid mounting concerns over unsustainable debt levels in major economies. Speaking at Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Dalio emphasized the need to move away from traditional bonds and debt instruments.

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Debt Crisis Looms

The warning comes as inflation rates remain elevated globally, with historical peaks of 9.6% in the U.K. and 9.1% in the U.S. during 2022. Dalio, whose net worth stands at $14 billion, identified five major forces affecting investment strategies:

  • Domestic politics
  • Geopolitical tensions
  • Environmental challenges
  • Technological advancement
  • Mounting debt levels

Alternative Assets Surge

Bitcoin, with its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, recently achieved a milestone by surpassing $100,000 before settling at $98,000. Simultaneously, gold demonstrated strong performance, appreciating 36% over the past year to reach $2,697 per ounce, with a previous peak of $2,790.07 in October.

According to BitWise Asset Management’s forecast, Bitcoin could potentially match gold’s $18 trillion market capitalization by decade’s end, which would value each Bitcoin at approximately $850,000.

Dalio’s perspective on Bitcoin has undergone significant evolution. In a February 2023 CNBC interview, he expressed skepticism about Bitcoin’s utility, stating: "It’s not an effective money, it’s not an effective store of value, it’s not an effective medium of exchange, but we are in a world where money as we know it is in jeopardy. We are printing too much."

The hedge fund veteran now advocates for increased attention to broader economic forces rather than daily market fluctuations, particularly emphasizing the risks associated with excessive government debt in the United States and China.

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