CME Readies Solana Futures Launch, Paving Way for US Spot ETFs

CME's Solana Futures Could Fast-Track SOL ETF Approvals by May 2024

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  • CME Group’s upcoming launch of Solana futures on March 17 could pave the way for SEC approval of Solana ETFs as early as May 2024.
  • Regulated Solana futures demonstrate market maturity, potentially making it easier for regulators to approve additional Solana financial products.
  • Solana ETFs could help diversify the blockchain’s growth story beyond memecoins, which currently generate approximately 80% of network revenue.

The imminent launch of Solana (SOL) futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) suggests that U.S. regulators may soon approve the first Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs), according to industry experts. The regulated futures contracts, scheduled to debut on March 17, represent a significant milestone for Solana’s integration into traditional financial markets.

Chris Chung, founder of Solana-based swap platform Titan, told Cointelegraph that the CME futures listing “paves the way for the eventual approval of SOL ETFs.” These contracts will join Coinbase’s Solana futures, which launched in February, as among the first regulated SOL derivatives available to U.S. investors.

Chung predicts the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission could approve spot Solana ETF applications from VanEck and Canary Capital as early as May. The existence of regulated futures contracts demonstrates Solana’s market maturity, potentially influencing regulatory decisions on related financial products.

Futures contracts serve as standardized agreements to buy or sell assets at predetermined future dates. These instruments play a crucial supporting role for spot cryptocurrency ETFs by establishing stable benchmarks for measuring digital asset performance. The CME already lists futures for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), both of which received ETF approvals from U.S. regulators in 2023.

## Diversifying Beyond Memecoins

The introduction of regulated Solana futures and potential ETFs could help shift the blockchain’s narrative beyond memecoins, which have dominated Solana’s ecosystem in early 2024. According to Chung, these institutional products “will bring more serious, sticky capital and pave the way for the development of other real-world use cases, such as payments and remittances.”

These practical applications may lack the excitement of memecoins but could provide “a reliable source of long-term revenue that will buoy Solana’s price in the next bear market,” Chung explained.

According to VanEck, memecoin trading—primarily through the popular Pump.fun platform—currently accounts for approximately 80% of Solana’s network revenue. However, the network experienced declining activity in February following several memecoin-related controversies that dampened retail trader enthusiasm.

## Competing With Ethereum

Despite recent challenges, cryptocurrency trading volumes on Solana continue to rival those of the entire Ethereum ecosystem, including its layer-2 scaling networks, according to a March 6 statement from VanEck.

Solana’s native SOL token has outperformed Ether by roughly twofold since early 2024. Ethereum’s spot price has struggled since March when the network’s Dencun upgrade reduced transaction fees by approximately 95%.

“With the extremely weak price action we’re seeing in ETH, Solana is now the only option for retail investors wanting to get exposure to crypto beyond Bitcoin, but not willing to go full degen,” Chung stated.

Bloomberg Intelligence analysts have assigned a 70% probability to the SEC approving spot Solana and Litecoin ETFs in the near future.

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