BlackRock Warns US Debt Spurs Crypto Rise, Bonds Bearish in 2026

BlackRock Warns of U.S. Debt Risks While Betting Big on Cryptocurrency Adoption and ETFs

  • BlackRock forecasts a weakening outlook for U.S. bonds and the economy due to rising national debt.
  • Growing U.S. debt, expected to surpass $38 trillion, may speed up institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
  • BlackRock holds significant investments in crypto, including one of the leading Bitcoin ETFs, and plans a staked Spot Ethereum ETF.
  • Stablecoins are recognized as a key link connecting traditional finance to digital liquidity.
  • Institutional interest, backed by BlackRock’s $100 billion Bitcoin ETF allocations, is projected to drive digital assets to new record highs next year.

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, issued a report outlining a bearish view on U.S. bonds and the nation’s economic stability. The firm highlighted concerns over the expanding U.S. national debt, forecasted to exceed $38 trillion, which could weaken financial markets and increase vulnerability to shocks like bond yield spikes related to fiscal pressures or inflation management conflicts.

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The report also pointed to this rising debt as a potential catalyst for faster cryptocurrency adoption among institutions. In 2025, institutional investment in crypto, especially Bitcoin, reached record highs that helped push several digital assets to all-time highs. Although these price surges have since fallen, BlackRock anticipates the trend could resume as government borrowing grows (Watcher.Guru Twitter).

BlackRock is one of the largest institutional investors in Bitcoin, with its iShares Spot BTC ETF ranking among the most successful cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds. The firm is preparing to launch a staked Spot Ethereum ETF, reflecting its long-standing positive stance on crypto technologies. CEO Larry Fink has emphasized that blockchain technology is still in the early phase of transforming the global economy. The company’s future strategy focuses heavily on asset tokenization, intending to tokenize assets such as real estate, equities, and bonds.

The report also highlighted stablecoins—digital assets pegged to real-world currencies or commodities—as they gain importance. Samara Cohen, BlackRock’s global head of market development, said, they “are no longer niche, they’re becoming the bridge between traditional finance and digital liquidity.”

With BlackRock allocating about $100 billion to Bitcoin ETFs, institutional inflows are expected to push cryptocurrencies to new all-time highs in the coming year. Analysts foresee Bitcoin potentially surpassing $200,000, with digital assets like Solana (SOL) and XRP possibly reaching record values as well.

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