Bitcoin’s Realized Cap Hits $872B Despite Indicators of Market Caution

Bitcoin's All-Time High Realized Cap Meets Cautious Investor Sentiment and Regional Demand Divergence

  • Bitcoin‘s realized market cap hit a record $872 billion, but monthly growth has slowed to just 0.9%, indicating risk-off sentiment.
  • Short-term Bitcoin holders are currently underwater with a realized price of $91,600, potentially increasing selling pressure.
  • A sentiment divergence exists between US and Korean Bitcoin traders, with US demand strengthening while Korean retail interest lags.

Bitcoin’s realized market cap has reached an all-time high of $872 billion, yet data indicates investors remain cautious at current price levels. According to recent analysis from Glassnode, the monthly growth rate of this key metric has declined to just 0.9%, suggesting a risk-off sentiment prevails in the cryptocurrency market despite the milestone achievement.

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The realized cap metric, which measures the value of all Bitcoin at the price they last moved, provides insight into actual capital invested in the cryptocurrency. Glassnode pointed out that the slowing growth rate indicates reduced capital inflow, signaling fewer new investors entering the market or decreased activity from existing holders.

Further evidence of investor caution comes from Glassnode’s realized profit and loss chart, which recently showed a sharp 40% decline. "This suggests saturation in investor activity and often precedes a consolidation phase as the market searches for a new equilibrium," the analytics platform explained.

The current situation appears particularly challenging for short-term Bitcoin holders. Data from CryptoQuant suggested the short-term realized price stands at $91,600, placing these investors underwater with Bitcoin trading below this threshold. This underwater position could trigger increased selling pressure if these holders decide to cut their losses.

Diverging Sentiment Between US and Korean Traders

An interesting contrast has emerged between Bitcoin traders in different regions. CryptoQuant data Korea-Premi”>shows that while the Coinbase premium (reflecting US trading) recently spiked, indicating strong American demand, the Kimchi premium index has fallen during the recent correction, suggesting lagging retail engagement among Korean traders.

This uneven regional demand is mirrored in Bitcoin’s recent price action. Since April 11, Bitcoin has traded in a tight range between $85,440 and $82,750. The cryptocurrency has maintained support from key moving averages on the 4-hour chart, but faces resistance from these same indicators on the daily timeframe.

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Market Structure Analysis

Bitcoin’s short-term holder market value to realized value ratio remains below 1, a level historically associated with buying opportunities. This further confirms that short-term holders are currently experiencing losses, potentially influencing market behavior in the near term.

The combination of record realized capitalization with cooling investor enthusiasm creates an interesting market dynamic as Bitcoin continues to consolidate at these elevated price levels. Traders appear to be exercising caution while waiting for clearer directional signals.

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