Bitcoin’s $65K Do-or-Die Test if 2026 Turns Bearish vs $45K?

Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer pins $65K as Bitcoin’s near-term “line in the sand” and $45K as the long-term power‑law support, while David Eng warns prices remain compressed below the growth law.

  • Bitcoin may face a critical support test at $65,000, with $45,000 identified as a longer-term power law trendline.
  • Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, published a power-law analysis highlighting those levels in a recent Timmer’s post.
  • Timmer said Bitcoin now tracks an internet-style S-curve more closely than the long-term power law.
  • David Eng responded on Eng’s post, arguing bear markets will persist and calling Bitcoin a “scarce fixed asset.”
  • Eng noted Bitcoin is “compressed below its growth law” and highlighted a spot price around $90,500 as roughly 25% below that law, shown in his tweet image.

Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, published a power-law analysis this weekend that flags $65,000 as a key battleground for Bitcoin and identifies a secondary support near $45,000. The work argues price has tracked the long-term power law through the bull market and may now test a lower trendline.

- Advertisement -

Timmer noted the asset is moving closer to an internet-style growth path and away from the strict power law. “It is following the internet S-curve a lot closer now than the power law curve,” he said, and added that “For now, the line in the sand for Bitcoin is $65k (previous high), and below that $45k. The latter is the power law trendline.”

Timmer warned that if Bitcoin consolidates over the next year the power law trendline could converge toward $65,000 and become a decisive support. “That’s still far away but if Bitcoin consolidates for the next year, that trendline could get closer to $65k and could become a do-or-die line in the sand for Bitcoin.”

Responding on social media, David Eng said the view that Bitcoin has escaped bear markets is mistaken. “The idea that Bitcoin has ‘graduated’ into a no-bear-market S-curve price regime misunderstands how prices form,” he wrote, and added that “Bitcoin is a scarce fixed asset inside the financial system, not a standalone S-curve like the internet.”

Eng also described current readings as compressed and argued history favors upward resolution. “Bitcoin isn’t stalling it’s coiling below its long-term growth law, and history says resolution comes by price catching up, not the law giving way,” he wrote, showing a chart with spot near $90,500, about 25% below the long-term law in his tweet image.

- Advertisement -

✅ Follow BITNEWSBOT on Telegram, Facebook, LinkedIn, X.com, and Google News for instant updates.

Previous Articles:

- Advertisement -

Latest News

US Crypto Bill Stalls in Senate Amid Partisan Dispute

A major crypto market structure bill has cleared the Senate Agricultural Committee but faces...

Treasury Chief Blasts ‘Nihilist’ Crypto Lobby on Bill

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent criticized crypto industry figures resisting a major market structure...

Radix Proposes Tapering Validator Subsidy to End Treasury Dependency

The Radix Foundation proposes a phased end to its validator subsidy by June 2026,...

Saylor’s Strategy Turns $33B Bitcoin Profit to $2B Loss

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, turned a potential $32.6 billion profit on its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings...

XRP Slumps 16% as Crypto Sell-Off Worsens

XRP plummeted over 16% to roughly $1.29, becoming the worst performer among major cryptocurrencies.Forced...
- Advertisement -

Must Read

Top 5 Testing Tools For Blockchain Applications in 2022

Blockchain apps have been adopted popularly by some prominent industries due to its being a decentralized-designed technology. Furthermore, these apps eliminate the risks that...
🔥 #AD Get 20% OFF any new 12 month hosting plan from Hostinger. Click here!