- Bitcoin prices have retreated toward $80,000 after briefly approaching $90,000, with inflation concerns and Trump’s tariff threats weighing on the market.
- Crypto trader Arthur Hayes predicts a Bitcoin Price boom in April, suggesting the Fed is preparing for “stealth” quantitative easing despite inflation concerns.
- Fed Chair Powell’s recent comments indicating that tariff-related inflation is “transitory” could signal a shift toward monetary easing that may benefit crypto markets.
Cryptocurrency markets have pulled back this week as Bitcoin retreated toward $80,000 after briefly approaching the $90,000 mark. The decline comes amid persistent inflation concerns, looming tariff threats from President Trump, and new reports of a mystery cryptocurrency hack that has rattled investor confidence.
Bitcoin’s price movement has demonstrated significant volatility despite recently confirming what many analysts described as a long-awaited “game-changer” for the cryptocurrency. The digital asset has been outperforming Tesla, according to market data, even as it struggles to maintain its recent gains.
Legendary crypto trader Arthur Hayes, co-founder of crypto derivatives platform Bitmex, believes the Federal Reserve is poised to trigger a Bitcoin price surge in April. “There was a seminal change in the [Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s] tone at the last Fed board meeting,” Hayes told podcaster Kyle Chasse.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained current interest rates during its most recent meeting after initiating a rate-cutting cycle in September. The committee also revised economic projections, lowering growth expectations while raising inflation forecasts and scaling back its quantitative tightening measures.
Hayes, who recently received a presidential pardon from Donald Trump for Bank Secrecy Act violations alongside fellow BitMex founders Benjamin Delo and Samuel Reed, interprets recent Fed communications as hinting at a return to monetary expansion. He highlighted Powell’s statement that “inflationary aspects of tariffs are transitory.”
“Tariffs don’t matter any more to Powell, and they shouldn’t matter as crypto investors,” Hayes explained. “If Trump does 50% or he does 2%, it doesn’t matter, because we know that Powell is going to continue to provide the easy monetary conditions that we need to have our portfolios go up in fiat dollars.”
President Trump’s proposed tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, and China are scheduled to take effect on April 2, creating uncertainty that has affected both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. However, market analyst Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, believes Bitcoin could rebound toward $90,000 soon.
“Bitcoin is attempting to form a bottom, supported by Trump’s recent shift toward ‘flexibility’ on the upcoming April 2 reciprocal tariffs, softening his earlier rhetoric,” Thielen noted in a research communication. He also pointed to Powell’s indication that the Fed would “look past short-term inflationary pressures, laying the groundwork for potential future easing.”
The potential for more accommodative monetary policy, combined with Trump’s possible moderation on tariffs, could create favorable conditions for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. According to Thielen, “Powell’s mildly dovish tone suggests that the Fed’s put remains intact, providing further support for a recovery in stock prices.”
While cryptocurrency investors navigate these complex market dynamics, the $36 trillion U.S. debt, which has grown substantially since 2020, remains a significant macroeconomic factor potentially influencing both Federal Reserve policy and digital asset valuations in the coming months.
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