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Bitcoin Dips Below $100K, May Fall to $56K Amid Bear Signals

Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000 Amid Bearish Trends with Potential Drop to $56,000 and Long-Term Rebound Forecasted by 2030

  • Bitcoin has fallen below $100,000 for the first time in months, dropping from its all-time high near $120,000.
  • If Bitcoin breaks below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), it may decline as low as $56,000 according to analyst Ali Martinez.
  • Bitcoin faces key support levels around $82,000 and $67,000 if it falls below $96,000.
  • Technical forecasts suggest Bitcoin could drop to approximately $78,600 by late 2026 amid current bearish market sentiment.
  • Long-term projections indicate a potential rebound with prices possibly reaching $246,000 by 2030.

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a notable decline as Bitcoin slipped below the $100,000 level in recent months, decreasing significantly from its previous all-time high of about $120,000. This price movement has raised concerns about further declines in the cryptocurrency market.

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According to crypto price expert Ali Martinez, during typical bear markets, if Bitcoin breaks below its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)—a technical indicator used to analyze price trends—it often falls below the current realized price, approximately $56,200. He stated, “In bear markets, when Bitcoin $BTC breaks below the 200-day SMA, it usually falls under its realized price, currently at $56,200.” He added that dropping from around $99,000 could push Bitcoin to levels between $66,000 and $88,000. Further support points are identified at $82,045 and $66,900.

According to CoinCodex BTC stats, the price of Bitcoin may continue to be volatile, with a forecasted drop of nearly 21% to around $78,600 by November 11, 2026. The technical indicators reflect a bearish sentiment, and the Fear & Greed Index is at 15, signaling extreme fear in the market. Recent market data shows about 47% of days have recorded gains over the past month, with a price volatility of 3.6%.

Despite these short-term concerns, long-term technical models anticipate a substantial rebound. Bitcoin could see an increase of approximately 147% from current levels, possibly reaching $245,881 by December 11, 2030, as per the same CoinCodex forecasts. The market sentiment remains bearish while the Fear & Greed Index continues to show extreme fear, reflecting ongoing cautious investor behavior.

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