XRP Reality Check: 70% Expect Token to Remain Below $2 in Q1

70% expect XRP to remain under $2 as thin liquidity, DeFi governance strains and lack of catalysts temper 2026 optimism

  • About 70% of respondents expect XRP to remain under $2 in the near term.
  • Nick Anderson highlighted polling data from Gemini’s prediction platform as a key signal of shifting sentiment.
  • XRP currently trades near $1.86 and has stayed in a narrow range amid light holiday volumes.
  • Thin liquidity and a lack of fresh catalysts are keeping expectations conservative.
  • Recent DeFi governance strains, including issues involving Aave, have contributed to broader trading uncertainty.

A poll highlighted by Nick Anderson shows roughly 70% of participants expect XRP to stay below $2 as markets enter 2026, reflecting a shift from recent optimism to tempered expectations. The data, drawn from Gemini’s prediction platform, arrives amid thin liquidity and an absence of clear catalysts that might drive a breakout.

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XRP trades near $1.86 and has remained confined to a narrow range during lighter holiday trading volumes. That price behavior has reinforced the view among many holders that a significant rally is unlikely in the immediate term.

Analyst commentary noted that turbulence in decentralized finance has also shaped sentiment. Governance tensions, such as disputes around founder involvement in votes affecting brand assets at Aave, have highlighted investor concerns about alignment between development teams and token holders.

Observers said thin liquidity can both mute momentum and increase volatility if fresh buying returns, making short-term moves more unpredictable. With no decisive positive news or major inflows reported, conservative positioning appears to be the prevailing approach among market participants.

Overall, the poll and recent market conditions suggest holders are preparing for stability rather than rapid expansion as 2026 begins, with liquidity, sentiment shifts, and governance developments cited as key factors influencing near-term expectations.

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