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Will Stock Rise or Fall by 6% Following Q3 Earnings?

  • Amazon shares could move about 6% up or down following the Q3 earnings report.
  • Current trading price is $229, with a company valuation at $2.6 trillion.
  • Q2 sales rose 13% to $167 billion, boosted by e-commerce and advertising growth.
  • Investments in AI and robotics may impact upcoming earnings and operational costs.
  • Analysts have bullish price targets, with Wedbush at $280 and Rosenblatt at $297.

Shares of Amazon (AMZN) are expected to swing approximately 6% either way following the release of the company’s Q3 earnings report due this Thursday. The stock closed recently at $229, with Amazon holding a market valuation near $2.6 trillion.

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In the previous quarter, Amazon reported a 13% increase in sales, reaching $167 billion. This growth was supported by strong performance in its e-commerce division and advertising business, which showed year-over-year gains. The company also continues to invest heavily in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and robotics to help reduce costs and improve operations.

Options market data indicate traders anticipate volatility of about 6.74%, which is higher than Amazon’s usual post-earnings movement averaging a 0.75% decline. This increased uncertainty stems from questions about the short-term impact of AI investments, including $75 billion planned capital spending for fiscal year 2025, and their effects on cloud services and the workforce.

Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud computing arm, remains a key contributor to overall revenue, though its growth rate has recently slowed. Meanwhile, the ongoing AI infrastructure push within AWS represents a critical focus.

The company’s e-commerce segment, a long-standing revenue source, could benefit from sales growth after recent promotions like Prime Day. Additionally, continued strong results in Amazon’s advertising business may support positive share price movement. If any of these areas show weaker performance, shares may decline by up to 6%.

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On Wall Street, analysts remain generally positive. Wedbush rates Amazon as “Outperform” with a $280 price target, and Rosenblatt projects a higher target of $297. Despite varying outlooks on short-term stock direction, most analyst price targets are above the current market price of $228.

For additional details, see Don’t Bet Against Amazon: Expert Sees 35% Rally Ahead to $306.

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