- Michael van Poppe sees a roughly 18–24 month window for crypto to outperform after Gold’s recent rally.
- He argues gold appears overextended and may enter a corrective or sideways phase.
- Van Poppe compared the current setup to past cycles where gold consolidation preceded strong Bitcoin advances.
- He says the expected crypto strength is driven by broader macro momentum rather than a single catalyst.
- He noted the final hurdle for Bitcoin remains crossing $100,000 while the year has started bullish.
Michael van Poppe, founder and chief investment officer of MN Fund, said on Sunday that with gold extended after its recent rally, a window of about 1.5–2 years could open for Bitcoin and crypto to outperform. He wrote that the move would be driven by macro momentum rather than one single catalyst.
Bitcoin rose about 2% in the past 24 hours and held above $93,000 in early trading. Retail sentiment around the asset moved to “extremely bullish” from “bullish,” while overall chatter remained at normal levels.
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) rose nearly 2% in pre-market trade. Retail sentiment for the fund slipped into “neutral” from “bullish,” and chatter levels were described as high.
Van Poppe said the setup mirrors earlier cycles in which gold paused after strong runs and bitcoin then surged. He wrote that gold’s recent strength has left it overextended and suggested a corrective period is likely. “Given the amount of strength in the recent run of Gold, and the overextended move there, it’s very expectable to see a corrective period on Gold,” he added.
He reiterated the 1.5–2 year outlook and, in a separate post, said the final hurdle for Bitcoin is to clear $100,000. He did not expect a “clear-chut, immediate breakout” but described the start of the year as bullish.
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