Tesla U.S. Sales Sink 23% in November Despite Cheaper Model Launch

Tesla US Sales Drop to Nearly 3-Year Low as Cheaper Model 3 and Y Fail to Lift Demand: Report

  • Tesla‘s U.S. sales dropped nearly 23% in November, reaching the lowest monthly volume since January 2022.
  • Overall U.S. electric vehicle (EV) sales declined by over 41% last month, but Tesla‘s market share increased to 56.7%.
  • Cheaper new “Standard” models of Model Y and Model 3 failed to boost demand after a $7,500 federal tax credit ended.
  • This year’s quarterly delivery targets are at risk, with Tesla needing a record-breaking result in the fourth quarter to avoid a year-over-year drop.
  • An aging lineup and rising competition may threaten future sales, according to industry analysts.

Tesla reported a significant decrease in its U.S. vehicle sales for November, which fell almost 23% to 39,800 vehicles compared to 51,513 in the same month last year. According to estimates from Cox Automotive, this marks the company’s lowest U.S. sales volume since January 2022. This drop occurred despite recent efforts to introduce more affordable versions of its Model Y and Model 3 vehicles in October, following the expiration of the $7,500 federal tax credit for electric vehicle (EV) purchases at the end of September.

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Overall, U.S. EV sales fell by more than 41% in November. However, Tesla increased its market share from 43.1% to 56.7%, even as total industry sales slid. The introduction of the Standard Model Y, starting at $39,990, and the Standard Model 3 at $36,990, was intended to support demand. These entry-level models are priced approximately $5,000 to $5,500 less than their premium counterparts. Yet, Cox Automotive’s Stephanie Valdez Streaty stated, “The drop certainly shows there is not enough demand for the Standard variants that were supposed to boost sales after the tax credit expiry,” and added that sales of the Standard models are cannibalizing demand for more expensive versions, particularly for the Model 3.

Deliveries for the first nine months of 2023 totaled 1.22 million vehicles. Tesla must deliver 568,917 vehicles in the fourth quarter to avoid an annual decline, a target the company has never reached in a single quarter. The highest number of deliveries in any previous quarter was 497,099, achieved in the third quarter of this year, which reflected a 7.4% year-over-year rise.

The company’s lineup may also contribute to slowing sales. The most recent addition was the Cybertruck, which began delivery in November 2023, but its high price is likely limiting its impact. During a recent company meeting, CEO Elon Musk announced plans to start production of several new products—including the humanoid robot Optimus and the Cybercab designed for robotaxi services—by 2026, but did not mention a new, lower-cost vehicle. As a Cox Automotive analyst emphasized to Reuters, “Tesla needs a completely new vehicle in its fleet. Period,” referring to upcoming competition from other automakers launching affordable EVs with popular features.

Investor sentiment around Tesla remains robust on social platforms, with the stock gaining 11% year-to-date and 5% over the past year. For more details on delivery data and analyst commentary, see the original report.

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