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SMCI Stock Plunges Amid Nvidia China Probe

Super Micro stock plummets amid weak margins and a federal China smuggling indictment.

  • Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) shares plummeted 33% in a single session, erasing over $6 billion in market value and marking the company’s worst performance since 2018.
  • An analyst revealed that $510 million in AI server shipments tied to China demand failed to improve Super Micro’s declining gross margins, while a U.S. indictment alleged illegal diversion of NVIDIA servers to China.
  • The legal and financial turmoil prompted Argus Research to downgrade the stock to ‘Hold,’ citing charges that “reawaken echoes” of past compliance and listing concerns.

Shares of Super Micro Computer Inc. plunged 33% on Friday, wiping out more than $6 billion in market value in their worst session since October 2018. The steep decline was triggered by analyst commentary and a major U.S. indictment related to the company’s China business.

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Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said on X that roughly 10% of quarterly revenue, worth about $510 million, came from servers smuggled into China. Consequently, this high-margin business failed to reverse the company’s sharply declining gross margin trend, which fell to 9.6%.

The analyst suggested structural pressure on AI server assembly margins and increased buyer leverage may explain the weak result. Meanwhile, a federal indictment alleges a Super Micro co-founder illegally diverted Nvidia AI servers to China via a Southeast Asian intermediary, violating U.S. export controls.

Super Micro stated the alleged conduct violated company policy and is cooperating with authorities. Consequently, the company placed implicated executives on leave and severed ties with an outside contractor named in the case.

These developments led Argus Research to downgrade the stock, warning the charges could overshadow strong fundamentals. The firm said the allegations “reawaken echoes” of past revenue delivery and margin issues at the company.

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Retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifted to ‘extremely bullish’ following the sell-off, with message volume surging over 1,500%. SMCI stock has lost nearly half its value over the past year and is down about 30% since January.

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