- Gold has risen nearly 60% in 2025, significantly outperforming Bitcoin’s 13% gain for the year to date.
- Analysts do not view gold as overpriced and expect it to continue outperforming bitcoin into next year, according to Kalshi market data.
- Crypto traders have faced losses, with only 35% reporting profits and most positioned poorly as market volatility persists.
- Recent data shows bitcoin undergoing a major deleveraging event, with long-term holders selling and funding rates dropping to lows seen during the 2022 exchange collapses.
- Market movement shows increased demand for gold amid geopolitical risks, while bitcoin and ether prices have declined alongside Asian stock indices.
Gold has climbed nearly 60% in 2025, outpacing bitcoin’s 13% increase for the same period, as investors seek safety amid global uncertainties. Trading activity on Kalshi indicates confidence that gold will continue to outperform bitcoin into next year.
Analysts report that gold is not considered overpriced, even after the strong rally. In contrast, only 34% of crypto traders on Hyperliquid hold long positions, and just 35% of traders remain profitable. Many traders have suffered losses as heightened leverage and volatility have made bitcoin trading risky.
The average crypto trader’s daily profit and loss has dropped to below $50,000, suggesting the majority are consistently losing money. A notable example is a well-known trader, Machi Big Brother, whose account shifted dramatically from $43 million profit to more than $13 million in losses. According to research from Glassnode, the recent $19 billion market deleveraging represents one of bitcoin’s largest in history, leaving the market in a “reset phase.”
Funding rates for leveraged trades have fallen to levels last seen during the 2022 collapse of the FTX exchange, while inflows into crypto-based ETFs have turned negative. Many long-term holders are now selling, adding further pressure. Glassnode warns that if new demand does not emerge, bitcoin could see further declines beneath the $108,000 mark.
Meanwhile, gold’s momentum is supported by investor conviction amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, easing inflation, and expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts. This has contrasted with the more speculative structure of the crypto market, which relies heavily on derivatives and ETF flows.
Recent market data shows bitcoin trading at $108,287, down as investors take profits and risk appetite weakens. Ether fell to $3,891 in similar market conditions. Gold remains in demand as a haven, while the Nikkei 225 index in Asia dropped 0.3% due to growing geopolitical concerns.
In other crypto sector developments, Eric Trump has said the Trump family has made over $1 billion in profit on crypto, according to a report by Decrypt. SEC Commissioner Peirce has emphasized the growing importance of financial privacy and tokenization, according to The Block. BNY Mellon reported a continued focus on stablecoin infrastructure.
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