Dalio: USD Could Lose Reserve Status as Tariffs Mount in’26.

  • Ray Dalio warned last year that the dollar’s global dominance is not guaranteed and described a possible “breakdown of the monetary order,” as early as 2026.
  • He cited rising debt, tariffs, and policy choices as risks that could weaken the USD and global confidence in it.
  • Trade tensions have intensified, including new 10% tariffs tied to the Greenland dispute that have pulled in regions like the Nordics.
  • Markets show signs of change: commodity prices are rising, central banks are adding Gold, and U.S. natural gas, gold, and silver have moved higher.
  • A social post shared Dalio’s warning and linked to the video of his comments and related material.

In an interview last year, billionaire investor Ray Dalio warned that the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency is not assured and described the risk of a “breakdown of the monetary order,” driven by rising debt, tariffs, and policy choices. He said global economic power could begin shifting as early as 2026. (Watch the full interview on YouTube.)

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Since that warning, trade tensions have increased and tariff disputes remain unresolved. Even traditionally neutral regions have been affected, with new 10% tariffs linked to the Greenland dispute drawing in Nordic countries. Many governments now frame reducing dollar dependence as economic protection rather than a political move.

Dalio warned the United States risks hurting its position by, as he put it, “throwing rocks into the production system.” He also said, “The USD may lose its reserve currency status.” Since Donald Trump returned to office, the dollar has fallen close to 10% over the past year, intensifying debate about de‑dollarization.

Markets reflect some of those shifts: commodity prices have moved higher while central banks increase gold holdings and cut reliance on the dollar. U.S. natural gas saw its biggest single‑session jump in over a year, while gold and silver continued steady gains.

A social post amplified Dalio’s comments and linked to his remarks and related images; see the post reposted on X, which included links to the video and media at the video link and the image link. Critics point to aggressive policy choices from the White House as a key reason for the waning confidence in the USD.

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