Coinbase Stock Tumbles Despite $1B Buyback Plan After Weak Q4 Results

Shares Fall Despite Announcement of Stock Repurchase Program Following Lower Than Expected Q4 Results

  • Coinbase reported Q3 2024 revenue of $1.2 billion, down from $1.45 billion in Q2, missing analyst expectations
  • Despite revenue decline, the company posted a $75 million profit, marking its fourth consecutive profitable quarter
  • Trading volumes decreased to $185 billion from $226 billion in Q2, with retail trading showing steeper decline
  • Board authorized a $1 billion stock repurchasing program
  • Base network shows strong growth with 55% increase in quarterly transactions

Coinbase Q3 Performance: Mixed Results Amid Market Slowdown

Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase reported mixed financial results for the third quarter of 2024, demonstrating resilience despite decreased trading activity. The company’s revenue fell to $1.2 billion, missing analyst expectations of $1.26 billion according to FactSet data.

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However, the exchange maintained profitability, reporting a $75 million profit compared to a $2 million loss in the same period last year. This marks the company’s fourth consecutive profitable quarter.

Trading Volume Decline Impacts Revenue

The primary factor behind the revenue decrease was reduced trading activity. Total trading volume dropped to $185 billion from $226 billion in Q2 2024. The decline was particularly pronounced in the retail sector:

  • Retail transaction revenue: Decreased 27% to $483 million
  • Institutional transaction revenue: Fell 13% to $55 million

Stock Performance and Market Response

Coinbase’s stock performance has shown volatility throughout the year. After reaching $279 in March 2024, coinciding with Bitcoin‘s all-time high of approximately $73,000, the stock settled at $211 before the earnings announcement. Following the report, after-hours trading saw the price decline 4% to $202.

The company announced a significant $1 billion stock repurchasing program, with timing and volume dependent on market conditions.

Stablecoin Revenue and USDC Growth

Despite concerns about the impact of Federal Reserve policies, stablecoin revenue showed resilience:

  • Revenue increased to $246 million from $240 million in Q2
  • USDC holdings on the platform grew 7% to $6.6 billion
  • Lower interest rates affected returns, but increased volume offset the impact

Base Network Success and Future Outlook

A notable bright spot in Coinbase’s ecosystem is the Base network, their Ethereum layer-2 scaling solution. The network recorded a 55% increase in transaction volume quarter-over-quarter, establishing itself as a leader in on-chain activity.

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Looking ahead, Coinbase maintains an optimistic stance regarding regulatory developments. The company cited Vice President Kamala Harrissupport of a regulatory framework for digital assets as a potential catalyst for increased trading volumes in Q4.

Market Analysis and Forward Strategy

Oppenheimer analysts attribute the slowdown in trading volume to a combination of factors:

  • Lack of positive market catalysts
  • Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election
  • Federal Reserve monetary policy impacts

The company maintains its focus on product development and user acquisition, targeting the ambitious goal of bringing one billion users to blockchain technology. "We continue to build great products, with a focus on some of the building blocks that are now in place to help bring one billion users on-chain," stated Coinbase in its shareholder letter.

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