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Bitcoin Surges Past $114K Amid Risk-On Market Rally

Bitcoin Surges Above $114,000 Driven by Fed Rate Cut Expectations, US-China Trade Easing, and Shift from Gold Investments

  • Bitcoin prices rose above $114,000 on October 21 after dipping to about $103,500 on October 17.
  • Renewed risk appetite and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut contributed to the rebound.
  • Improved U.S.-China trade relations sparked market optimism, reversing earlier Bitcoin losses.
  • Investors withdrew funds from Gold and silver ETFs, shifting capital into Bitcoin amid global debt concerns.
  • Bitcoin showed reduced correlation with traditional fiat assets and gold, indicating increased asset independence.

Bitcoin’s price increased past $114,000 on Tuesday, October 21, following a recent drop to around $103,500 on Friday, October 17. This rally occurred as market participants regained a willingness to take risks.

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According to Coinbase data from TradingView, Bitcoin reached a peak of $114,082.29, marking an approximate 10.2% rise from its recent low.

Joe DiPasquale, CEO of the cryptocurrency hedge fund manager BitBull Capital, said via email that the rebound was driven by a mix of renewed risk appetite linked to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, easing macroeconomic concerns, and market stabilization following leveraged liquidations from the prior week.

Marc P. Bernegger, cofounder of the crypto fund of funds AltAlpha Digital, pointed to easing tensions between the U.S. and China as another factor. “President Trump’s October 14 comments on tariffs (initially escalating to 100% on Chinese imports) triggered a BTC dip to $105k, but Beijing’s October 19 response—easing export curbs—reversed sentiment overnight,” he stated via email. This shift resulted in approximately $1.5 billion in spot market inflows, pushing Bitcoin back above $114,000.

Bernegger also noted significant outflows from gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) during the same period, suggesting investors moved capital from precious metals into Bitcoin due to concerns over global debt.

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Independent cryptocurrency analyst Armando Aguilar confirmed this trend, highlighting recent sharp declines in gold and silver prices. “Gold and silver recently experienced their largest single-day declines in over a decade, which led investors to jump into Bitcoin and other digital assets,” Aguilar said. Gold prices dropped as much as 6.3%, falling from a record high of $4,381 to $4,082 per ounce, marking the biggest one-day percentage decline since 2013. Silver saw an even steeper decrease between 7% and 8.7%, reaching $47.89 per ounce, its largest single-day drop since 2021.

Aguilar added that Bitcoin’s recovery from the sell-off was aided by long-term holders withdrawing coins from exchanges.

Tim Enneking, managing partner at Psalion, noted Bitcoin’s reduced correlation with traditional fiat assets and gold during the recent price movements. “BTC has been going through a fascinating couple of days,” he said via email. “Regardless of the direction of the move, the extremely positive point is that there has been little correlation between BTC and fiat markets (yesterday) and gold (today), which is fabulous!”

This separation from traditional asset movements is beneficial to Bitcoin as an independent asset class. Historically, Bitcoin’s correlation with equity markets increased during 2020, moving from near zero to about 0.5 correlation with indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, according to a CME Group article based on data from 2014 to 2025.

The recent decline in correlation suggests Bitcoin is moving more on its own fundamentals rather than following broader market trends or traditional fiat assets.

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