Bitcoin Slides to $84K Amid Fed’s Potential December Rate Cut

Bitcoin's 2025 Price Drop Amid Economic Uncertainty and Federal Reserve Rate Cut Speculation

  • Bitcoin’s price has declined from a peak of $120,000 to about $84,000 in 2025, down 14% year-to-date amid economic challenges in the U.S.
  • The Federal Reserve’s decision on further interest rate cuts could significantly influence Bitcoin‘s price movement.
  • The Fed made two rate cuts in 2025, with the last one in October, but recent government shutdowns have raised uncertainty about additional cuts.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that further rate reductions might not occur soon, citing inflation and employment concerns.
  • New York Fed President John Williams indicated that a December rate cut remains possible, with market tools showing a 70% chance for a 25 basis points reduction.

Bitcoin has experienced a notable price drop in 2025, falling from highs near $120,000 to approximately $84,000. This decline marks a 14% decrease year-to-date, reflecting broader instability in the cryptocurrency market linked to a turbulent U.S. economy.

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Investors and analysts are monitoring the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, especially the possibility of further interest rate cuts, as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin to rebound toward the $100,000 mark. The Central Bank implemented two rate cuts during the year, including a recent reduction in October.

Following the October cut, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated cautious optimism but warned that additional rate cuts might not materialize soon. He noted slowed job gains, increased employment risks, and inflation levels that remain elevated. These factors add uncertainty to the likelihood of further monetary easing.

The prolonged U.S. government shutdown lasting over 40 days also complicates the economic outlook by limiting access to key government data, which may affect the Fed’s decision-making on interest rates. The ongoing uncertainty has sparked debate within the Federal Reserve about the path forward.

Despite these concerns, New York Fed President John Williams recently suggested in comments to the Wall Street Journal that there is still “room for a further adjustment” to interest rates. Market-based indicators, such as the CME FedWatch Tool, show an increased probability—now 70%—of a 25 basis points rate cut in December, up from 39% just days earlier.

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Should the Fed proceed with another rate cut, cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin could potentially experience upward price movement to close the year.

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